That which can explain anything, fails to explain at all.

Brent

On 8/5/2024 4:19 AM, John Clark wrote:
On Sun, Aug 4, 2024 at 8:15 PM Keith Henson <[email protected]> wrote:

        />> On physicist Scott Aaronson's Quantum Computing blog he
        occasionally changes topics and talks about politics; recently
        he did so in a dialectic manner about Trump, and it's
        remarkable how closely his opinions coincide with my own,
        except that he can express them better. /

        /*Never-Trump From Here to Eternity” FAQ*
        <https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=8172> /


    /> I replied to his screed./


*Screed? I thought it was logical and concise and covered all the points that needed to be covered and covered nothing irrelevant. Did Aaronson say something that was illegal or immoral or just plain wrong? Did he keep repeating himself, did he say anything that was an exaggeration? If he did I have not discovered it.*

    /> Why is there Trump/MAGA/QAnon interest/agitation/etc now and
    why is itconfined to certain areas?  What is different about the
    current dayand the past and what is different about those areas?/


*Those are all EXCELLENT questions and your theory can explain all of them,BUT ONLY AFTER THEY HAVE HAPPENED. Regardless of what turns out to have occurred your theory can ALWAYS find a way to explain it, therefore it has zero predictive ability. A good theory such as General Relativity predicted that when the light of a star passes near the sun it will be deflected by a certain very specific amount, if it had turned out that it was deflected by more or less than that precise figure then even Einstein would've had to admit that General Relativity was wrong because there was no easy way to change the theory so that it would match the new measurement . You can't fudge General Relativity because the parts it all fit together like a Swiss watch. Einstein stuck his neck out but he won. Your theory can explain anything, which is equivalent to explaining nothing*.

    /> I have foundthis very hard for most people to grasp/


*I understand what you're saying and I'm NOT saying you're wrong,I'm saying it's not a scientific theory because it has no predictive power. *

John K Clark    See what's on my new list at Extropolis <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
yab


    > Oh and by the way, also on the blog Professor Aaronson informs
    us that just a few days ago the smallest Busy Beaver number that
    is known to be consistent with Zermelo–Fraenkel set theory has
    been reduced from BB(745) to BB(643).


fzs

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