--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, "raunchydog" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, "Richard J. Williams" > <willytex@> wrote: > > > "If Mr Obama should be in any doubt how gravely > > the Alaska governor's vice-presidential nomination > > has imperiled his White House ambitions, then a > > day spent in Macomb County will make this clear: > > white women who voted for John Kerry in 2004 are > > suddenly deserting him on masse." > > > > Read more: > > > > 'Palin wins over Obama women' > > By Tim Reid > > Times Online, September 12, 2008 > > http://tinyurl.com/4mqvht > > My brother lives in Mt. Clemens. This is the demographic I have been > yammering about. Times Online: "This is Mount Clemens, in the heart of > Macomb County, where the pollster Stan Greenberg first identified the > phenomenon of the Reagan Democrats the working-class, socially > conservative, traditionally Democratic whites who deserted the party > for Ronald Reagan in 1980. It is fair to say that this critical swing > group now has a new name: Palin Democrats." >
According to a San Francisco Chronicle article, the election will be won in certain key states, which include Florida, Michigan, Illinois and Ohio. These states are considered the swing states. If Obama can win these swing states and hold the same states (blue) that voted Democratic from the last election, he wins. Essentially, the red states or those which voted Republican in the last election will support McCain and will vote accordingly. Texas is considered to be a Republican state. So, I don't think Obama will be campaigning hard in Texas. For the most part, the southern states are predicted to vote Republican as they did the last time.
