But of course China could invade Taiwan or do almost anything else
with impunity by threatening to flood the Treasury bill and other
markets with their $600 billion of dollar holdings, causing Treasuries
to plunge, substantially raising long-term interest rates, doubling or
tripling mortgage rates over night, severley popping the real estate
bubble, plunging the US into a deep depression (that even SSRIs will
not help.)

__________________________

China `ready to use N-weapons against US'
By Alexandra Harney in Beijing

China is prepared to use nuclear weapons against the US if it is
attacked by Washington during a confrontation over Taiwan, according
to a senior Chinese military official.


"If the Americans draw their missiles and position-guided ammunition
on to the target zone on China's territory, I think we will have to
respond with nuclear weapons," Zhu Chenghu, a major general in the
People's Liberation Army, said at an official briefing.

Mr Zhu, who is also a professor at China's National Defence
University, was speaking at a function for foreign journalists
organised, in part, by the Chinese government. He added that China's
definition of its territory includes warships and aircraft.

"If the Americans are determined to interfere [then] we will be
determined to respond," Mr Zhu said. "We Chinese will prepare
ourselves for the destruction of all of the cities east of Xian. Of
course the Americans will have to be prepared that hundreds. . . of
cities will be destroyed by the Chinese." Mr Zhu is a
self-acknowledged "hawk" who has warned previously that China could
strike the US with long-range missiles. But his threat to use nuclear
weapons in a conflict over Taiwan is the most specific by a senior
Chinese official in nearly a decade.

Rick Fisher, a former senior US congressional official and an
authority on the Chinese military, said the specific nature of the
threat "is a new addition to China's public discourse".

China's official doctrine has called for no first use of nuclear
weapons since its first atomic test in 1964. But Mr Zhu is not the
first Chinese official to refer to the possibility of using such
weapons first in a conflict over Taiwan.

Chas Freeman, a former US assistant secretary of defence, said in 1999
that a PLA official had told him China could respond in kind to a
nuclear strike by the US in the event of a conflict with Taiwan.

"In the end you care more about Los Angeles than you do about Taipei,"
Mr Freeman quoted this official as saying. The official is believed to
have been Xiong Guangkai, now the PLA's deputy chief of general staff.

The rationale for the new threats is unclear. China's Ministry of
Foreign Affairs could not be reached for comment.

Mr Zhu, who has risen from the rank of colonel over the past five
years, insisted he was expressing his personal views, and that they
did not represent the policy of the Chinese government. Nor was he
anticipating war between China and the US.

But he said that, because China did not have the capability to fight a
conventional war against the US, the threat to escalate might be the
only way to stop a war.

His comments could provide insight into the thinking among some in the
PLA amid growing anxiety in Washington about its capabilities. Last
month, Donald Rumsfeld, defence secretary, voiced concern about
China's military build-up.

Additional reporting by Edward Alden in Washington




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