--- In [email protected], "sparaig" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> > The raw data in the DC study did not show any statistical validity,
> 
> Not so. Even the raw numbers showed a positive effect, overall.
> 
>  so
> > Hagelin adjusted the data by a "heat factor" arguing that the 
> weather
> > was hotter than avg and thus the crime rate should have been higher
> > than avg. 
> 
> That's not what he did.

Yes it is.  From the study:  "Average weekly temperature was
significantly correlated with homicides, rapes and assaults (HRA
crimes), as has also been found in previous research; therefore
temperature was used as a control variable in the main analysis of HRA
crimes."

That means he adjusted the raw crime data by a weather control
variable, specifically a heat factor.  To determine the validity of
this you need to know the details of that control variable and I can't
find the complete study anywhere.  I've been told by good sources at
mum that the heat factor used to adjust the data is too high.  This is
in keeping with stories from many mum graduate students as to the
pressure put on students and profs to come up with positive results --
the attitude is that we know what MMY says is truth therefore it's not
wrong to massage the research in order to prove the truth.







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