on 10/28/05 9:08 AM, markmeredith2002 at [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

> --- In [email protected], "sparaig" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> 
>>> The raw data in the DC study did not show any statistical validity,
>> 
>> Not so. Even the raw numbers showed a positive effect, overall.
>> 
>>  so
>>> Hagelin adjusted the data by a "heat factor" arguing that the
>> weather
>>> was hotter than avg and thus the crime rate should have been higher
>>> than avg. 
>> 
>> That's not what he did.
> 
> Yes it is.  From the study:  "Average weekly temperature was
> significantly correlated with homicides, rapes and assaults (HRA
> crimes), as has also been found in previous research; therefore
> temperature was used as a control variable in the main analysis of HRA
> crimes."

I was on that course, and I'd say the heat would have discouraged crime
rather than increased it. It was too damn HOT to commit a crime, although I
heard that theft of ice and cold beer went up, as well as swimming pool
break-ins.




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