Akasha, did they use an interupted time series
analysis? I'm assuming with my baby stats background
that this would have been appropriate.  

--- akasha_108 <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> "authfriend" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > In other words, I don't believe akasha is in a
> > position even to guess at flaws in the study or to
> > say the results didn't reflect the reality unless
> he
> > knows *exactly* what methodology the researchers
> > used.  He has to be able to see the published
> study
> > before he can make a relevant evaluation.
> 
> The summary appears quite clear -- they did not use
> the control
> variables in the primary analysis. I don't need to
> read the full
> study, which I seek to, to raise concerns about that
> and other things
> stated in the summary. And I can speculate as to the
> data issues they
> faced, having climbed that hill many times in
> various analysis
> projects, and why they did what they did (as
> outlined in the summary).
>  Speculation is not exactly a searing critique.
> 
> On the same token, I suppose its hard for you to
> defend the study
> without having it at hand. 
> 
> (Just curious, did you read the full study in the
> past? But no longer
> have a copy?)
>  
> > I'm not at all sure he can come up with his own
> > method, run all the numbers, get different
> results,
> > and on that basis, without knowing what
> methodology
> > they were using, say there was something wrong
> with
> > their results.
> 
> I guess, if thats what i were doing, above. Which I
> am not. Nice
> strawman. First I am using the most standard and
> conventional methods
> for this type of study -- multi-variate regression.
> I did not suddenly
> invent regression for this analysis. Second, who
> knows if I will get
> the same or a different result than them. Its a work
> in progress. I
> shared some preliminary exploratory results, based
> on a surprising
> strong little initial model. As I get better data, I
> will undoubtedly
> be able to develop better models. Third, I am
> approaching the analysis
> from different angles, more angles perhaps, than
> they did. Thats a
> good thing. For example, looking at personal crimes,
> using a unified
> model for the complete analysis, etc. Fourth, I am
> not using my
> analysis as a basis to critique the oringinal study.
> I am doing it to
> understand the ME and verify or reject it based on
> the actual numbers.
> For now, I would rather debate my own analysis than
> some analysis done
> 12 years ago in which the data used is not
> apparently readily
> available, nor the study itself. 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
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>  
> 
> 
> 



                
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