--- In [email protected], Vaj <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> 
> On Jan 9, 2006, at 10:20 AM, authfriend wrote:
> 
> > --- In [email protected], Vaj <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> >
> >>
> >>
> >> On Jan 8, 2006, at 8:29 PM, sparaig wrote:
> >>
> >>
> >>> The ME theory is a large numbers theory. The crime rate of
> >>>
> > Fairfield
> >
> >>> could be skewed by having a single pickpocket living among the
> >>> sidhas. For that matter, the traffic accident rate during the
> >>>
> > Taste
> >
> >>> of Utopia course could go up because the town's adult population
> >>>
> > more
> >
> >>> than doubled (tripled) during that time. To accurately measure 
the
> >>> predicted claims of the ME, you would need a much larger
> >>> statistical sample population for them to effect than 
> >>> Fairfield, IA, like Washington, DC.
> >>
> >> Just another TB rationalization to avoid accepting the obvious.
> >
> > Not real familiar with statistical principles,
> > are you?
> 
> Trained in advanced statistics...does that count?

Apparently not, given your comments.

> The variables he mentioned could be accounted for--and the TMO is  
> certainly adept at number crunching and ambiguation.
> 
> The fact that Crystal Meth is on the increase in the areas all
> around FF might be harder to hide.

Non sequitur.

> Maybe attracting factory Hog Farms is actually what CCP's do? Like  
> mosquitoes to a light bulb?

Non sequitur.

> While the ME is an interesting hypothesis, that's all it really is
> at this point.

Granted.  There's some suggestive evidence for it,
but it's certainly not conclusive.

The point, however (as you know), is that it has not
been *disproved* by the Fairfield crime numbers.

> Since repetition of these studies seems rather unlikely,  
> it most likely will just remain fringe- or pseudo-science.

Even if the ME exists, I seriously doubt it would
ever be possible to validate it scientifically.

 But for  
> some people it will be hard to let go of these dreams of glory
> daze and rising sunshine.

You mean, like the fact that international conflict
has very sharply declined in recent years?






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