--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, new_morning_blank_slate <[EMAIL 
PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, "curtisdeltablues"
> <curtisdeltablues@> wrote:
> >
> > 
> >  "I think we may be saying something roughly similar,
> > except that I don't know whether you put much stock
> > in intuition."
> > 
> > I definitely do, although I may or may not have more limits on how far
> > that can go.  In the field of psychology and human behavior, intuition
> > seems to be a critical tool.  I don't believe that they intuit the
> > future exactly,  but I'll bet they can detect trends in behavior that
> > have a good chance of leading somewhere predictable.  If a person goes
> > to bed drunk with a gun under their pillow every night, and is in an
> > abusive relationship, my intuition tells me that someday, someone may
> > get shot. 
> 
> Or common sense. Which is subject to a lot of cognitive biases. But
> this is not an area devoid of scientific inquiry. Qualified
> psychologists / psychiatrists could tell you the same andmuch more.
> With higher statistical reliability.
> 

I think you've inflated the ability of qualified psychologists/psychiatrists, 
unless you're 
talking about extremely limited situations like dealing with psychotics and 
other people 
with predictably unpredictable behavior patterns.








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