--- In [email protected], Rick Archer <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> There are also some cool new
> small wind turbines for home use. Imagine the impact if these were
installed
> in virtually every building in America.

Some Issues with Renewables

An issue with wind and solar is that they provide power on a partial
and  or variable basis. No solar at night, and varies summer vs
winter. Wind happens when it happens. 

Electricity is totally in the NOW. Large storage is not cost-effective
-- batteries can be used -- but that adds greatly to the cost of a
renewable system. Electricity to convert hydrogen rich substances to
pure, usable hydrogen is another "storage" possibility, but not
currently cost-effective. 

So wind and solar usually cant meet  all instant aneowus needs through
the day. And if there is no storage, power needs to be supplemented
from the grid. 

Someone mentioned selling power back to the grid. Thats done a lot,
but it  may not be at times the power system needs it. Energy at 2 am
may be 1/10 the price of peak power -- often summer afternoon for many
areas, winter evenings for others. And non-dependable / sporatic
energy is much less valuable to a power system than that which is
highly reliable at a particular time period.  Thus, renewable buy-back
rates in many cases are legitimately quite low.

And selling "random" energy back to the grind can actually increase
energy inefficiency and create greater use of fossil fuels. It sounds
counter intuitive, but it has to do with the longer run capital
investment decisions of power systems. New power plants are always
more efficient -- often radically so --  than the older retired ones
they replace -- and the power system as a whole. So when random
renewable power  is  sold back to the grid, it  actually eats away at
the core of "need" for large base-loaded (runs 18-24 hours a day)
highly efficient new generation. For the technically inclined, it
thins out the load duration curve. The net effect is that newer far
more efficient power plants are delayed or not built at all -- which
when if and when build and brought on line, would  reduce overall
system fuel consumption -- even taking into the account fuel savings
from buy backs from renewables. Thus, renewables and their sellling
back to the grid, can, not always, have the effect of delaying new
plants which in turn reduce total system fuel needs due to their much
higher efficiencies.

This "paradox" would be diminished or removed there was a radical
shift in the system. If wind and solar saturations became quite large,
quickly, 20-60% of homes and businesses, over say 5 years, then, in
aggregate, then renewables as a power source become more "predicable".

To bring this about in five years or so,  would require things such as
mandating solar and wind on all new construction, and on resale homes.
And provide deep incentives 40-70% of inital capital and installation
costs -- for which the most economically efficient and equitable way
would be to heavily tax "BTUS" -- all fossil fuels. This would burn
the candle at both ends -- make renewables less expensive, and make
the cost-effective thrreshold much lower (that is they would be
competing against much higher cost end-use fuels / electricity.).
Though this has been a known and  reseached method for real energy
independnece and much lower pollution levels  -- the public, quite
short-sightedly -- will not not stomach it. Though if they had 20
years ago, total energy costs per capital woul be much lower over the
past 20 years than they actually have been. For those adopting
renewables quickly under this plan, their total energy bills would not
be greatly effected -- when averaged over 2-4 years.  








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