--- In [email protected], "authfriend" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> --- In [email protected], "sparaig" <sparaig@> wrote:
> >
> > --- In [email protected], new.morning <no_reply@> wrote:
> > >
> > > --- In [email protected], "sparaig" <sparaig@> wrote:
> <snip>
> > > > It was NOT excluded from the data. The weekly AVERAGE was the 
> > > > weekly average with no data excluded. The SIGNIFICANCE of the 
> > > > outlier was dismissed because it was only one data point 
> > > > amongst many and wasn't repeated and in fact was reversed
> > > > the next week (20 one week and 4 the next).
> > > 
> > > See footnote 3.
> > > 
> > >    3. After removing the outlier of June 22, Poisson regression
> > > analysis indicated there was no significant difference in the 
> > > level of homicides in June and July 1993 from the remainder of 
> > > the year.
> > 
> > Ah you're right. Interesting that something that changed the 
> > average so slightly over a 2-week period would have a significant 
> > effect. It suggests that the murder-rate trended upward slightly
> > even without the outler.
> 
> Lawson, this was a separate analysis, not the
> main analysis.  It was done to answer the
> specific question about the nature of the murder
> rate.
> 
> And I don't understand why you say it suggests the
> murder rate trended upward even without the outlier.
>

If there was no significant change without excluding the outlier, they wouldn't 
have 
excluded the outlier.

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