Success won't be down to just ease of development or features, it will depend on backing from early adopters. Most sites that you'd think would benefit form an RIA (banking, shopping, auctions etc.) are still using fairly old (read reliable) set ups. They are more IA's than RIA's - sure we're seeing a few mapping tools and webmail apps using flash, ajax and even java applets (www.rac.com - best mapping tool going) but most serious apps where people are spending money are done the old way.
Watch Google, Amazon, Ebay, play.com and Yahoo (a macromedia partner so it's fairly easy to guess where they're going to go). It'll also depends on the backing of developers and designers - Flash is so ubiquitous now thanks to lots of designers thinking 'cool' and then tagging a really annoying intro to the front of a site (remember eye4u anyone?) - it got the player out there. Ajax won't go away, neither will Flash, as for Sparkle and Flex2? Who knows - they both sound so promising but that means nothing. M _______________________________________________ Flashcoders mailing list Flashcoders@chattyfig.figleaf.com http://chattyfig.figleaf.com/mailman/listinfo/flashcoders
