The official Flash Player roadmap http://www.adobe.com/devnet/flashplatform/whitepapers/roadmap.html as of June 28 says "Adobe continues to actively invest in enabling developers to create and deploy Flash based content as mobile (and desktop) applications via Adobe AIR."
If this is not in fact the case, Alex wouldn't know about it. The announcements last year appeared to take the Adobe technical employees by surprise. So I think if there is one day any change of plans we'll most likely first hear about it from the Adobe website, possibly in some kind of poorly executed press release from their platform leads. John