Hi Ivan,

Please forgive the speculativeness and abstruseness of my response to your
question ... but it's the best I can do!

The question that's really being asked here is, 'What is the future of
computing?' -- and I'm not sure it is possible to answer that question in
the abstract, just in the same way it wasn't possible to answer the
question 'What is the future of painting?' if it had been asked in the
studio of Cimabue before Giotto turned up.  Without actually answering the
question, it's possible to speculate on the potential of the medium.  To my
mind, the first distinction to make is between the instrumental and the
essential nature of the medium; by that I mean, between the purposes to
which the medium can be put as a tool -- the computations that can be made
with it, its mere utility -- and the possibilities of the medium as a
medium for thinking and imagining in.  So to continue the art example, the
art of painting is itself the medium, and the introduction of, say, oil
paints into Italy in the beginning of the 15th century, while it was a huge
technical advance that allowed greater expressiveness, experimentation and
delicacy -- and lead to some genres of painting that were not practical
before with tempera -- it didn't represent the birth of a new field as
such.  The essential advance happened arguably centuries earlier in the art
of Nicolo Pisano in sculpture and Giotto in painting in the awareness of
the possibilities of space and form, and in the reabsorption of the Greek
notions of studied rational observation of nature.  Flatness in painting --
when it isn't an aesthetic choice but a miserable inability -- is also a
kind of flatness, a weakness, a feebleness -- a sub-realism -- from a
mental point of view.  Giotto's paintings have many masterly qualities but
perhaps the paradigmatic significance was his tremendous assertion of
volume.  Volume represented not just solidity, or merely an advance in
making something look three-dimensional -- it literally advanced the art of
painting by a power -- it showed that it was possible to think of forms in
the round, to be aware of their sides, even of the backs of figures, while
simultaneously depicting them from a single viewpoint.  Giotto's
achievement also demonstrates that this sense of volume -- while of course
it exists in potential in everybody -- had to be first imagined by him and
brought into existence by sheer force of will.  To my mind it also suggests
that things like the sense of volume can actually be regarded as 'senses'
of a kind -- 'virtual senses', if you like, willed into existence by the
mind -- and I think this is literally true if you think about a sense as
not merely a sense organ but a cognitive process for which neuronal
machinery exists in the brain, which we call cortexes.

So what is the relevance of this to the future of computing?  My point
above is that although instrumental advances are powerful and important
they are fundamentally incremental, and that paradigm shifts only occur
when essential advances are made -- and essential advances are first
intuited, imagined, and then willed into existence -- and function like
'virtual senses' in the sense that they both perceive sense data as well as
actively organise data into new concepts.  This brings us back to the
question of computing as a medium in the instrumental and essential sense,
and the general question of what effect do instruments and tools have on
the ability to conceptualise.  What medium does computing represent?  Oil
paints and brushes are the instruments of painting -- arguably a flat
surface is the essential medium, as it is the essential difference between
painting and sculpture.  Computers can of course be used as tools to create
in these media -- digital paint programs, 3D modelling software, etc., are
instrumental equivalents -- but these are extensions of existing tools, and
arguably less artistically efficient than traditional media (paints,
violins, chisels, etc). Of course, computers can digitally manipulate
images, sounds, words, etc., in ways that are cumbersome or practically
impossible traditionally and you can argue that this certainly opens up new
avenues of expression -- but not necessarily new realms of expression.

I think Dr. Kay has pointed out that one thing that a computer can do
uniquely that is more than an extension, refinement, or virtualisation of
what traditional tools currently do is simulation -- the ability to project
interactive information spaces, to run models through simulations, to carry
out virtual experimentation.  And it's arguable that the greatest enabler
of experimentation in this space is not so much predefined software so much
as computer languages, which provide an interactive syntax for thinking in
that medium.

Regards,
Iian


On 15 July 2012 05:36, Ivan Zhao <[email protected]> wrote:

> 45 years after Engelbart's demo, we have a read-only web and Microsoft
> Word 2011, a gulf between "users" and "programmers" that can't be wider,
> and the scariest part is that most people have been indoctrinated long
> enough to realize there could be alternatives.
>
> Naturally, this is just history repeating itself (a la pre-Gutenberg
> scribes, Victorian plumbers). But my question is, what can we learn from
> these historical precedences, in order to to consciously to design our
> escape path. A revolution? An evolution? An education?
>
> Ivan
> _______________________________________________
> fonc mailing list
> [email protected]
> http://vpri.org/mailman/listinfo/fonc
>
>
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