Andreas Pettersson wrote:
Mark Andrews wrote:
        Why don't you go the other way and get yourself IPv6
        connectivity.  You do realise that you will require it to
        reach many sites in about 3 years time as they will be IPv6
        only

For almost 10 years I've heard discussions about the successor to IPv4, but from my point of view (may differ from others..) not much has happened. Of course, I can imagine that when the wheel starts rolling for real things might change quickly. 3 years may prove to be correct, but are there any clear signs pointing in this direction?

The proponents of IPv6 have claimed growing real-world deployment for the last several years. There is yet no significant commercial deployment--the real world still runs on IPv4.

The mitigating factors are IPv4 address space pressure and global routing problems. Every time enough people start crying about too little IPv4 address space left, IANA reassigns more reserved space into the allocation pool and those fussing grow quiet. As for global routing, it can be summed as: it ain't broken enough, yet. It's going to be years before there is a real, sustained pressure to migrate significant portions of the commercial internet into IPv6 space and years more for enough key-player migration to drag the rest of the commercial world with it.

The academic and research portions of the internet are not the driving force. Convince MSN, AOL, Yahoo, Comcast, $BIG_NATIONAL_ISP, etc. to deploy IPv6 and we'll get wide-spread global IPv6 deployment overnight.

I'll put it this way: When my Linksys WRT54G supports IPv6 on both sides of the router, IPv6 will have reached commercial viability. Until then, it's a research exercise.

--
Darren Pilgrim
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