I recollect that some years ago the AI community (at a AAAI conference I 
attended) claimed that each of the 10^11 neurons also had on average 
10^4 connections resulting in a 10^15 computational 'size' for the 
brain.  They also predicted we'd have a computer of similar power by 
2015.  Furrthermore it also stuck in my mind that 40% of the brain was 
claimed to be involved in vision (including reading).  So  these 
estimates lead one to think that it's going to be quite close to 2015 
before we have a system with just the power of human vision.  Being able 
to program such a machine was not part of the discussion at the time, 
which is a big question to me.

Thanks
Robert Cordingley
www.cirrillian.com

Martin C. Martin wrote:

>I suspect you'd like Hans Moravec's books:
>
>http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0674576187
>http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0195136306
>
>He uses Moore's law and estimates of the brain's computing power to 
>calculate when we'll have human equivalence in "a computer."  I forget 
>the date, but it's not far.  He also talks about a number of very 
>interesting consequences of this.
>
>- Martin
>
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>  
>

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