Paul--Came across this a while back, http:// www.complexityandpolicy.org/projectdescp.htm, and there's a DC complexity/policy center at http://www.complexsys.org/. When I still lived in Bushville I remember finding all sorts of things scattered on the web in various corners of govt. Might be good to check the Brookings web page. The ABM modeling of drug epidemics under the NIH grant that ended a couple of years back lead to some policy suggestions, if you're interested in that as an example. Article in JASSS can be accessed through the web page as can an Agents04 presentation with Steve and Robert that showed how analysis of parameters suggested a shift from epidemiology to consumer marketing.

I'm heading to a UN event next week to talk complexity. Maybe we can discuss it at FRIAM this Friday?

Mike Agar
www.ethknoworks.com





On Jan 23, 2007, at 8:34 AM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

The major concern in organizational real time monitoring is choosing the correct and most useful indicators. At UNDP for whom I worked for years we constantly monitored both organizations and projects.sometimes with models, sometimes without. The choice of indicators clearly skews the results and future decisions and developments.

Actually systems biologists do use models to study natural systems whether it be species, evolution of species or ecosystems. I seem to recall a computer model programme called SAS (?) that was used to model evolution of species. That was in the late 1980s. It was very cumbersome and slow.

I am particularly interested in models applied to politics and how to achieve progressive change and adaptive management strategies. Has anyone used these kind of models?

Paul Paryski
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lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

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