All --

  How reality meets modeling:

From Forbes.com ( http://www.forbes.com/2008/09/23/bailout-paulson-congress-biz-beltway-cx_jz_bw_0923bailout.html ) :

" In fact, some of the most basic details, including the $700 billion figure Treasury would use to buy up bad debt, are fuzzy. "It's not based on any particular data point," a Treasury spokeswoman told Forbes.com Tuesday. "We just wanted to choose a really large number." "



My guess is that rather than using that bogus "modeling" stuff, they just used an "oracle" approach (i.e., asked a bunch of people, "What's a really large number?" and then, from the answers, picked one that didn't have "trillion" in it, and started with "lucky number 7" . . .)

At least some spokesperson is being honest about their "methodology" . . .



tom

On Oct 3, 2008, at 11:03 AM, Douglas Roberts wrote:


http://www.theregister.co.uk/2008/10/03/us_economy_model/

"...it implements the 20 equations to describe the economy during a credit crunch in a programming language called Matlab from MathWorks."



I'm sorry, but all I can say is "Fuck me to tears." The US's head financier is an idiot.

--
Doug Roberts, RTI International
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