Douglas Roberts wrote:
Imagine that three years ago it was announced that a highly-resolved economic simulation was available that could simulate the US economy 3 years into the future. What are the odds that there would have been anybody around with sufficient domain knowledge, foresight, and modeling expertise to run a parameter sweep that would have captured our current real-life economic scenario?
Maybe the issue needs to be taken out of the narrow financial domain?  e.g.

http://www.dhs.gov/xabout/structure/gc_1166220191042.shtm

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