Two points:

First, what are you doing up answering email in the wee hours of
the AM?  My excuse is that I am in India and it is midday here.

Second,  I did say "in terms of the preceding paragraph ... I see
no difference."  And, behaviorally, I really do not see any
difference.  In semi-hard sciences like software engineering, the
described behaviors are even more evident - aspect-oriented
programming being a prime example.  Statistics may very well be
in this category as well - visualization of quantative
information definitely is.

I heard once, that newly graduated particle physicists could look
forward to doing ONE major experiment in their career - because
of the cost of such experiments and the lack of places to conduct
them.  The only chance they have of even getting the opportunity
for that one experiment is to conform to the prevailing "core
theory" - thereby making it more and more "core."  AND, it is the
conformance that counts not the merits of the experiment or the
core theory.

In the "soft sciences" the experiments cost far far less and
almost anyone can do them.  So you can have multiple theories in
play simultaneously and no economic motive to force convergence
to a single core.

Comparing economics and anthropology might be interesting.  Econ
aspires to be as hard a science as physics (sociology does as
well - Harry Seldon is alive and well in that discipline) but
anthropology is more content (barring the odd Marvin Harris) with
"descriptive" theory with only statistical predictive
capabilities.  Econ makes predictions that are, more often than
not, wrong - precise but wrong.  Anthro makes predictions but
expects them to be ballpark, not precise.  Does this mean that
economists have real theories and anthros do not?

davew

On Monday, November 14, 2011 12:54 AM, "Nicholas  Thompson"
<[email protected]> wrote:

Dave,


I hate to bite the hand that feeds me, but I think there really
IS a difference.  It’s not that hard scientists are less venal
than soft ones;  Something in the state of play of the soft
sciences themselves just does not reward rigor and head down,
bull ahead normal science, in the way that it is rewarded in the
hard sciences. I think being superficially uninteresting to the
public goes a long way to protecting one from the kind of crap
that goes on in the social sciences.  By the way, statistics
itself is one of those tortured fields.  If you look at its
history, you find that the statistics we were all taught in
graduate school is an incoherent mélange of Spearman and Pearson
(I think).


From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Prof David West
Sent: Monday, November 14, 2011 12:02 AM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Theory, and Why It's Time Psychology Got One



On Monday, November 14, 2011 12:43 AM, "ERIC P. CHARLES"
<[1][email protected]> wrote:


"It is the behavior of a group that is not working towards
consensus, and that is not clear on what the value of specific
replicable results would be. It is the behavior of a group that
vies for prestige through popularity contests and through bean
counting publications regardless of replicability or actual
progress being made. It is self-serving behavior, well adapted to
the landscape of a field that lacks a core theory."


At the risk of annoying everyone (except perhaps Nick) - I would
suggest that, with regard to the preceding paragraph, physics is
no different from psychology.  Feyeraband, Knorr-Certina,
Christopher Alexander ("self conscious process") and many other
observers of how science is really done as opposed to self
serving reports of how it is supposed to be done.


How fast a discipline's thinking ossifies to a consensual theory
is a function of the need to protect one's research funding and
repelling challengers with outre ideas - not the substantiveness
of the "core theory."


dave west



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