On Thu, Nov 08, 2012 at 11:37:31AM -0700, Steve Smith wrote: > 4. If not a literal Singularity, is there a subcritical Technological > Explosion underway?
The Singularity is based on the technology growth curve becoming hyperbolic (reaching inifnity in finite time), as opposed to exponential (which requires infinite time). So yes, there is a subcritical technological explosion underway. It won't become hyperbolic until we solve the apparently hard problem of creativity. Optimists predict this will happen as soon as 2020 - personally, I think it might take a little longer, but would plug for a value sometime this century. Cheers -- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Prof Russell Standish Phone 0425 253119 (mobile) Principal, High Performance Coders Visiting Professor of Mathematics [email protected] University of New South Wales http://www.hpcoders.com.au ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ============================================================ FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
