But Roger, isn’t this a ticket to apathy?  Where is the spur to action without 
outrage?  I know that question sounds odd, but I am really asking it.  Nick

 

Nicholas S. Thompson

Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology

Clark University

 <http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/> 
http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/

 

From: Friam [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Roger Critchlow
Sent: Tuesday, June 09, 2015 1:37 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] The Attack on Truth - The Chronicle of Higher Education

 

Of course the really fun thing about statistics is the ongoing discussion about 
the "willful ignorance" of scientists submitting papers with technically 
correct but wholly dubious claims of statistical significance, because -- 
rather, becorrelate -- their salaries depend on getting published.  Funny that 
the language naturally inserts a causal claim into that observation, where I 
would rather put the cause on the system than the individuals, and I have to 
invent a word to back off 

 

I'm tending to see this issue theologically.  The technical name for "we're all 
imperfect and we've always been so" is original sin.  Feeling a bit of impostor 
syndrome?  That's how the personal experience of original sin manifests.  
Disgusted that cops aren't fair, that rich people get privileges, that 
politicians repay rich people with more privileges, that FIFA is corrupt, that 
Australia outsources immigrant detention camps to Nauru, that Nauru denies 
visas to Australian civil rights lawyers seeking to defend immigrant rights, 
and so on?  Yeah, well, be disgusted, but try not to get too righteous about it 
and spare us the expressions of shocked outrage.  If you're shocked at this, 
then you haven't been paying attention.

 

So, are there any entirely good or entirely bad persons?  Or are they entirely 
figments of our imaginations?

 

-- rec --

 

On Tue, Jun 9, 2015 at 10:10 AM, glen <[email protected] 
<mailto:[email protected]> > wrote:


Statistics is one tool.  I'm not sure it's the most powerful tool, though.  I 
tend to think the best tool is ... well, it goes by many names.  One name is 
"active listening" ... "empathy" ... etc.  The technique is well known to all 
of us (well unless we're autistic or psychopathic).  When you hear someone say 
something that just sounds wrong, there are 2 basic steps:

1) find out why you think they're wrong (including the statistics that surround 
any of the facts involved), and
2) try to figure out what the speaker _really_ means by whatever nonsense 
they're spouting.

Since I don't believe our thoughts are very accurate at all, I have no problems 
empathizing with someone who spouts (apparent) nonsense.  I do it myself on a 
regular basis.  I try not to.  But it's difficult.  In fact, the reason I find 
purposeful nonsense (including climate denial or chemtrails, but more like 
chatbots) so cool is because of the accidental nonsense in which we bathe.



On 06/09/2015 08:36 AM, Grant Holland wrote:
> Righto. So what we do is put a measure on "how much confidence" we have. 
> Statistics gives us some tools for that - namely the "moment functionals" 
> (mean, variance, skewness, etc.); and information theory gives us some more 
> general tools for that - entropy and the other entropic funtionals. So maybe 
> it's a mixture of the relative and the absolute. Maybe we've moved up to the 
> "junior" level?
>
> Grant
>
> On 6/9/15 9:14 AM, Nick Thompson wrote:
>> Correct.  Nothing is certain.  We've known that since Kant.  NOW what?  That
>> there are no certain facts does not imply that some facts are not more
>> enduring and useful than others.  We need to get beyond the sophomoric
>> revelation that "everything is relative."

--
⇒⇐ glen e. p. ropella
Float away from those horizons



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