Maybe a restatement of Glen's point would be:
    Misinformation and disinformation are a given:
    How we manage our trust is the challenge.

I was introduced to Dempster-Shafer theory on a project a number of years ago... and was impressed by some of its' utility as a formalism on the problem we were working (actually extensions to D-S theory)...

On the original topic, however, I feel like my world has been, for a very long time, invaded by the forces of propaganda, misinformation and disinformation. One of the more interesting books I received when my grandfather died was entitled "Straight and Crooked Thinking" written near the turn of the 20th century... and of course we have the Greeks coining concepts such as "rhetoric" and "sophistry" millennia ago.

- Steve
Are  there not more and less risky sources?   If you have source that provides 
you with high-quality, predictive information, over and over and they are 
right, should not that individual be allowed less scrutiny than a person that 
has no track record, or a bad track record?   Given finite attention, doesn't a 
person have to decide what to scrutinize, and what to let slide?

-----Original Message-----
From: Friam [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of glen e. p. ropella
Sent: Thursday, June 25, 2015 5:28 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: [FRIAM] [ SPAM ] where is the real threat?


That scratch in my surface jumps me back, yet again, to the postmodern point:

Beware of the online war of propaganda
http://news.usc.edu/82853/beware-of-the-war-of-propaganda-taking-place-online/

“People normally trust online content,” said Farshad Kooti, one of the Ph.D. 
candidates at USC Viterbi who worked with Galstyan. “Unfortunately, this 
introduces an opportunity to spread misinformation by using automated bots that 
are very hard to detect.”
Misinformation and disinformation are NOT the threat.  Trust is the threat.

--
glen ep ropella -- 971-255-2847

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