This talk was mentioned on hacker news this week and inspired my babbling
at Saveur this morning.  https://slideslive.com/38921495/how-to-know.  The
talk was delivered at Neural IPS on December 9 and discusses recent
research on how people come to believe they know something.

This paper https://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/full/10.1162/opmi_a_00017
describes
the Amazon Mechanical Turk experiment on people becoming certain they
understood the boolean rule they were being taught by examples.

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