Roger, Glen,  Steve

 

Sorry.  Not one of my better posts.  I certainly didn’t mean to imply that 
anybody was doing fine.  I guess I began to worry that deaths in those more 
rural states were being masked by the fact that people were staying away from 
hospitals, but that doesn’t make any sense whatsoever.  I will try to wake up 
more before I post, in future. 

 

I valued Steve’s reflections on death in small rural communities.  The town 
where I raised my family was such a community.   Some times a year, weeks would 
go by between any opportunities to share information.  If somebody died in mid 
summer or in mid winter, it might be a month or so before I would learn it.   
So, paradoxical as it might seem, I can imagine that the same rate of death 
might have more impact in a larger community than in a smaller one.  

 

I do miss that national map of case doubling time by county.  By comparing it, 
day by day, I got a real sense of “what was happening.”  If anybody happens on 
that again, please let me know.  It would, I think, confirm Roger’s 
Observation. 

 

Glen, those Hall/King comparisons are pretty dramatic.  Go Kemp! What is the 
population of the two counties?  

 

n

 

Nicholas Thompson

Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology

Clark University

 <mailto:[email protected]> [email protected]

 <https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/> 
https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/

 

 

From: Friam <[email protected]> On Behalf Of Roger Critchlow
Sent: Wednesday, May 6, 2020 12:35 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[email protected]>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] What Is the Real Coronavirus Toll in Each State? - The New 
York Times

 

I read something in the past week that argued the red counties in the 
battleground states were showing a very bad trendline, that the rates of 
infection looked ready to surge, but I haven't been able to find the original 
source again.  It was a University researcher who was tracking county 
statistics.

 

I didn't see where Nick thought the last few paragraphs undercut the lead of 
the article, that some states have temporarily lost the ability to track their 
own vital statistics doesn't suggest that they're doing fine.

 

-- rec --

 

 

On Wed, May 6, 2020 at 2:17 PM uǝlƃ ☣ <[email protected] 
<mailto:[email protected]> > wrote:

Given Gov. Kemp's statement that Hall county is having trouble, I thought I'd 
include it in comparison to DeKalb. This also relates to the idea that Atlanta 
residents (mostly Dem) might tend to stick with distancing more than the 
surrounding (more Rep) areas.


On 5/6/20 8:51 AM, [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>  
wrote:
> My go-to, until the last few days, was a map the Times was putting up of 
> doubling time by county.  They clearly still have the data, and do produce it 
> by state, but I can no longer find the national map, which was showing nicely 
> the spread of the disease outward from urban areas. 


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