It gets even MORE interesting if we consider the variable environment to which 
the virus is optimizing.  According to Ewald’s theory 
<https://www.amazon.com/s?k=evolution+of+infectious+disease+by+paul+ewald&i=stripbooks&crid=2M9WVN279ILHB&sprefix=Paul+Ewald+evolu%2Cstripbooks%2C271&ref=nb_sb_ss_i_1_16>
 , the virulence of the virus evolves in relation to its Ro, so a more 
transmissible virus will become more virulent, etc and vv. 

 

n  

 

Nicholas Thompson

Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology

Clark University

 <mailto:[email protected]> [email protected]

 <https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/> 
https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/

 

 

From: Friam <[email protected]> On Behalf Of Marcus Daniels
Sent: Tuesday, May 26, 2020 1:36 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[email protected]>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Covid and Politics

 

Dave writes:

 

< 3.5 million deaths is perfectly acceptable. Mostly because that total will 
accumulate at a rate of 150-170,000 per year which puts COVID in the lower half 
of the top five causes of death in the US. >

 

It gets more interesting if SARS-Cov2 is optimizing itself.  

 

Marcus

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