Well, I think Dave gets at something important, here, that SteveS misses by jumping 
to reflection (model of self modeling the world), though I agree SteveS' response 
to Q1 is correctly oriented. But first, we can't ignore Wolpert's run-up to that 
1st question. It seems to me he is treating proto-computational cognition with the 
respect it deserves. (E.g. baby ontogeny & society ontogeny.) The very asking 
of the question indicates that respect.

I.e. Why is it that learning those proto-computational techniques (including culture) gives us the 
ability to come up with science and mathematics (SAM)? In the transition from question 4 to 5, he 
explicitly mentions the "unreasonable effectiveness" of math, and agrees with Dave 
(generally) that such things are woefully impoverished compared to full models of reality. Math, as 
we've developed it, is inherently incapable of representing things like baby ontogeny. And perhaps 
that limitation is an example of "what we cannot even imagine".

Where I agree with SteveS' orientation is toward this self-referencing loopiness. Wolpert 
relies on his assertion that "All statements in mathematics consist of finite 
sequences of elements from a finite set." This is right after his discussion of how 
category theory may seem so beautiful to us *because* we're LIMITED in our ability to 
represent the world with math. It's counter-intuitive. But in general, it seems to me 
that it lines up well with Dave's intuition of the limitation.

While math can represent circular definitions (what Robert Rosen complained about), there 
are deep problems in the foundations of math ... things like the iterative conception of 
sets ... that are attempts to do what Wolpert asks for in the later questions. And it's 
unclear to me that commutative categories reduce to "finite sequences of elements 
from a finite set", prolly 'cause I'm just ignorant. But diagrammatic loops in 
graphs don't look to me like finite sequences.

In any case, the question is a can kicked down the road. Even if our math is 
growing more powerful, what *can* we understand about where it might go if, 
say, we meet some advanced intelligent aliens or whatever?

On 9/11/22 10:35, Prof David West wrote:
Wolpert's questions are fantastic. Thanks glen for prompting this discussion.

Re: question one about the "chasm with minimal cognitive capabilities necessary 
..."

I have two major problems with the assumptions behind this question.

First, the assumption that Godel, Einstein, and Beethoven exemplify 'greater' 
(in some sense of that word) cognitive abilities. This is analogous the the AI 
notions advanced by Newel and Simon that they had succeeded in creating a 
thinking machine because the thinking reproduced was that of university 
professors. They thought that the way they thought was the apex of human 
thinking. A much greater challenge— still avoided, even by the most 
sophisticated ML approaches — is how a baby is able to learn and extract 
meaning from a chaotic cacophony of inputs.

Second, that the cognitive capabilities of pre-Holocene humans were "minimal." 
The most pernicious myth with regard our long ago ancestors derive from either Rousseau 
or Hobbes—both of whom conjectured, with no evidence, that our ancestors existed in a 
primitive state—Edenic for Rousseau, and brutish for Hobbes, but simplistically primitive.

Quite the opposite was true. The world was far more complex and challenging, 
with everything from social relations to 'food chemistry' (e.g. brewing beer) 
to explanations of why everything in the world was as it was being highly 
variable across population groups and constantly in flux. A bit analogous to 
the baby making sense of the world.

Humans today are able to "survive" primarily because of tens of thousands of years 
accumulation of "culture." Because we have that resource, we do not have to figure out if 
that nice striped quadruped over there will eat me; or, if that red berry will kill me but the 
other red berry is essential for a great BLT.

It might be possible to make an argument: Godel, et. al., were able to do what 
they did because 'culture' reduced the daily (hourly, millisecond-ly) cognitive 
load such that it was possible to put the 'surplus' to work on issues of math 
and music; but, not that there was any kind of qualitative or quantitative 
difference in cognitive abilities of humans then and now.

to be continued ...

davew


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