On 2/13/25 1:34 PM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
The hazards of adult life have distanced me somewhat from these drivers, but I 
remember as a young adult often staying up all night to make progress on a 
project or just because I felt like the relevant facts were hot in cache.

One could imagine within or across datacenter migrating work according to the 
location of Infiniband switches, or NUMA domains, because of temperature, or 
because of the dynamic cost of power.    These things are readily measured, 
e.g. nvidia-smi, and could be prepended to prompts.   Behavior of the response 
could thus change based on these things.

More directly, the energy availability or heat dissipation could control the 
beam search depth of the LLM.  (Like I might be terse and bitchy if I was 
hungry.)   It's not hard to imagine evolutionary learning of these things where 
policies would proliferate or become extinct based on energy budgets.

Claude is happy to suggest some analogues of hallucinogens for LLMs.


I recently read a headline (but no click-through) that someone did a simulation of the near-future demand for power based on data centers and other heavy power consumers which suggested that very careful time-of-use load balancing could recover the net delta of energy demand by data centers... it sounds a bit too free-lunchy optimism but not entirely unmotivated.   But that probably didn't take into account Jevon's paradox which seems to dominate *everything* and maybe be the main (only) reason free markets are collective suicide in the long run?


-----Original Message-----
From: Friam <[email protected]> On Behalf Of glen
Sent: Thursday, February 13, 2025 11:39 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] a davew-ism

While I agree about many of us thinking the analogy is weaker than it is, I disagree that 
the surprisal registered by Claude when it was working for a clean evaluation is similar 
to our surprisal minimization. Dave tried to address this with his comment about 
hallucinogens in contrast to positive feedback drugs like uppers or downers. Our 
"world diffs" do exist to some extent. And the LLMs are better at it than we 
are.

But what the LLMs don't yet have, I think, is that interestingness drive, the 
willingness to destroy ourselves merely to find something, anything 
*interesting*. For interestingness, we're willing to open the surprisal flood 
gates and risk our entire minds/bodies to be destroyed ... or, at least, many 
of us are willing. Many of us are not, I guess.

And I've tried to point out that monists, whether one's pantheon comprises 
quarks or gods, tend to fall on the latter side, dreading the day when/if their 
mind/body will be destroyed. I forget who it was that suggested the true Turing 
Test is suicide. But it rings true to me.

On 2/13/25 11:25 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
In Alex Garland's Civil War, the protagonists remark on people in the heartland that 
are “trying to pretend this isn’t happening".  IRL, with both Trump 1.0 and 2.0 
I recall people saying they would stop reading the news until the country returned 
to normal.   It seems there are examples of people that take life in batches or 
simply calcify.   Long delays from pretraining isn't necessarily a fatal flaw for 
passing the Turing Test.

-----Original Message-----
From: Friam <[email protected]> On Behalf Of Marcus Daniels
Sent: Thursday, February 13, 2025 11:17 AM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
<[email protected]>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] a davew-ism

You reported Claude reacting yesterday, changing how it imported a math 
function into JavaScript.

I often use "git diff" with Claude to let it take a crack at what changed in a 
codebase to cause a bug.  Claude is happy to read diffs.

Imagine instead of "git diff", "world diff".   Those diffs could accumulate in 
a giant context window or be merged into the next pretraining session.  I understand that even 
Gemini is only a 2M window, but with multi gigawatt data centers, who knows how quickly they be 
able to turn around new versions of these LLMs.

If training material was unconstrained, I could certainly see the probability distribution of any user query 
to result in responses like "Don't bother it’s a dumb idea", or "Progress is impossible", 
"Stop bothering me putz", etc.

-----Original Message-----
From: Friam <[email protected]> On Behalf Of glen
Sent: Thursday, February 13, 2025 11:06 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] a davew-ism

But Roger's point still stands, AFAIK. I can imagine some group has allocated 
the resources to an LLM to simply explore, say, mathematics with a APIs to 
things like Sage, Lean, et al. All it would take is for some importation of a 
real random number that pricks the LLM to go query the APIs with arbitrary 
questions ... and keep following that thread until it got bored (whatever it 
might mean for an LLM to get bored ... maybe if it pings the APIs several 
thousand times and the variation in the repsonses is below some epsilon - or 
the variation stays above some constant). Then the real random number generator 
would prick it again and off it goes again. I can imagine it. But who would 
fund such a thing?

Regardless of all the other differences between an LLM and a human,
this one seems fundamental ... the impetus to keep chunking along
rather than being mostly reactionary. I have zero idea why Dave's
heart still beats. But I do have some idea about why my own does.
While it may seem like it's of its own accord, it's not. There's a
little random number generator in there somewhere. When it stops
poking me, I suspect I'll drop dead. And it won't matter how, or what
with, I'm prompted because I'll be dead. 8^D

GPT and Claude won't die. They may stop reacting. But they can't die because they don't 
have that little urge driving them. They can't die. They're just really big databases 
with "natural" interfaces.

Useless anecdote. A "friend" once insulted me by saying "you're the most consistent 
person I know". He said that because we'd just started talking again after a long hiatus. The 
main reason that's an insult is because it falsified, or seemed to depending on our estimation of 
his abilities, all the changes I thought I'd gone through during the hiatus.

On 2/13/25 10:33 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
Consider a (hyper) box of available knowledge.  Knowledge includes
skills and descriptions of experiences.   We live our lives visiting different 
but overlapping small parts of this box.   LLMs vacuum-up more knowledge than 
any one person can consume or create.   With steadily increasing fidelity and 
generality they capture it.   Private subjective experiences of human 
individuals are not recorded at all.  If they were, they’d be hoovered up by 
the LLM and generalized -- many subjective experiences will be recorded because 
they will be described in biographies, blogs, art and so on.  Since LLMs are 
universal interpolators, they will likely be better at mimicking human reports 
of feelings than say, I would be.  The LLM has seen more of humanity than I 
have, albeit through a portal that is very different than my suite of sensors.  
 The diversity and bandwidth of sensors could likely be made competitive to my 
sensors.  Olfaction and tactile sensitivity will take some work, I suppose. As 
you point, out, there is copious pornography (and other sorts of hedonism) 
multimodal LLMs could hoover up to understand the human condition.


LLMs now suffer from batching of their “consciousness”.  Pretraining takes 
months. LLMs are now forever behind on current events.  Refinement of training 
by reflection on queries is also delayed by as much or more.    In contrast, I 
also have some latency in my perceptual systems.   My reaction time is maybe 
a1/10^th of a second, compared to microseconds for a microprocessor.  (The 
coding speed of LLMs is essentially instantaneous compared to humans.)   It 
seems to me this is just a question of scale, not a qualitative difference.  In 
any case, the batching is something that can be driven down with engineering.

*From:*Friam <[email protected]> *On Behalf Of *Prof David
West
*Sent:* Thursday, February 13, 2025 9:46 AM
*To:* [email protected]
*Subject:* [FRIAM] a davew-ism

A very personal narrative that you might not want to engage. If so, please 
simply ignore and delete.

Centers on the question of AI “intelligence/consciousness.”

     ____

1-I started reading by the age of four, mostly comic books (some were 
quasi-non-fiction, like /Donald Duck in Mathemagic Land/) and “children’s 
literature.” I have read more than 10,000 books in my lifetime, averaging .75 
per day. A reasonably large “training set.”

2-Through high school, my reading focused on Science Fiction, Science 
(astrophysics, astronomy, quantum physics, some math, some biology), and Porn. 
(I was a fixture in a bookstore in Albuquerque that had an adult back room and 
no one noticed if I disappeared there for an hour or two.) However, the science 
fiction, in particular, often created an interest in reading about the ideas 
presented in the novel. For example, A.E. van Vogt’s, /World of Null-A/, led me 
to read Korzibski’s /Manhood of Humanity/ and /Science and Sanity/ by the age 
of 10: An episode of /The Outer Limits/, prompted me to read Kant’s /Critique 
of Pure Reason/;  Vonnegut’s /Sirens of Titan/ was shelved in SF and that led 
to reading /Cat’s Cradle/ and more.

3- I have always been pretty good at remembering, integrating, correlating, and 
recalling what I have read.

4-Freshman year of high-school, scored 187 on IQ test. Used that result to 
become the youngest, at that time, member of Mensa. (I still have membership 
card and yellow map pin, plus copy of Salt Lake Tribune columnist’s article.) I 
won a National Merit Scholarship and my SAT scores were 99 percentiles in 
language, 87th in math.  (I took the GRE in History for grad school and scored 
a 98th percentile despite never taking a course in western history since 
high-school.) *NOTE: this does not mean I am intelligent, only that my 
“knowledge base” was greater than that of people 20 years my senior. *All that 
reading!

5-I “suffer???” from a psychological disconnect, psychopathic-like,
from other people. I do not ‘feel’, do not experience, do not
empathize with others. I lack any kind of ‘conscience’ or external
morality. I do have a kind of ‘receptive empathy’ in that I sense,
receive as inputs, the emotions and feelings of others, but have no
internal sense of same. Sometimes, I use the analogy of an
old-fashioned radio, all antenna but no crystal resonating to the
signals received. (I do have “appetites:” wanting to know everything,
wanting to experience everything (at least once), and constantly
craving more complex and intense sensations/experiences. (I don’t do
opium, coke, alcohol, etc. because the experiences are repetitive but
love hallucinogens for the exact opposite reason.)

6-Today, I am a "good Christian," *IN* the World, but no *OF* it. Or, more 
accurately, akin to the homunculus in Searle’s Chinese Room. I receive massive amounts of 
input from and about human beings and their inner ‘being’, use my reasonably large 
knowledge-base to flawlessly interpret those inputs (surprisingly, perhaps, the porn 
actually helps in this regard), and generate a, mostly, flawless projection of myself as 
a human being. I do not experience, intrinsically, what other humans experience; do not 
‘feel’ what other humans ‘feel.” This is a criticism oft made of computer-based AI, 
arguing against their being conscious/aware/intelligent. I am also pretty good at 
providing reasonable answers to a large variety of questions.

7-Am I an AI?

--
¡sıɹƎ ןıɐH ⊥ ɐןןǝdoɹ ǝ uǝןƃ
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