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Subject: Vera-Zavala_ / Change Or Intervention In Bolivia / Dec 19

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Today's commentary:
http://www.zmag.org/sustainers/content/2005-12/19vera-zavala_.cfm

==================================

ZNet Commentary
Change Or Intervention In Bolivia December 19, 2005
By America  Vera-Zavala

If you look down from the visitors' balcony in the national parliament in La
Paz, you see a divided parliament. On the right hand side you have all the
members of parliament from the right wing parties; all white, well dressed in
suits and ties, coming from well known political and business families in the
country. On the other side, the left side MAS, Movimiento al Socialismo takes
up most of the seats. Their members of parliament are from the indigenous
population. Many of them are dressed in their traditional colourful ponchos
and hats and the women wear wide skirts.

During the colonisation the indigenous were slaves, after liberation they
became serfs, only after 1952 they won a limited right to vote and constituted
the proletariat. With MAS gaining political space they entered the parliament
in great numbers for the first time ever in the beginning of the 21st century.
The indigenous population have always been the vast majority in the country,
and in the elections 18th December they can become majority in parliament as 
well.

Bolivia is probably the most intervened country in Latin America. It is
literally being torn apart by the US, the national bourgeoisie, the IMF, the
World Bank, NGO:s and Aid Agencies. As a consequence it is one of the most
militant countries in the continent.

Bolivia is the first country in the world to throw out a transnational
corporation. In 2000 Bechtel was chased out from Cochabamba after the by now
famous water war. In the fall 2003 people from El Alto and surroundings
started the gas war. The demands were to nationalise gas and oil and call for
a constituent assembly. To obtain this the people from El Alto closed down La
Paz, the airport couldn?t function, and there was no communication in and out
from the city.
With the pretext of saving stranded tourists and giving rich people food the
massacre of November 2003 was carried out in El Alto and surrounding villages.
Nobody knows how many people were killed, between 80 and 100 is said. The
first one was an eight year old girl. Protests intensified and the neoliberal
president Goni, had to flee (to Washington were he is currently living).
Carlos Mesa the incoming president promised a referendum about nationalising
gas and oil and to make those responsible for the massacre stand trial. None
of this happened and in June 2005 he had to resign after intense protests.

"We did not want this election", says Beatriz, an aymara intellectual and
activist from El Alto. "We wanted change and not elections. After the gas war
we celebrated, although people had been killed and hurt, after the June
uprising we cried," she says.

All the opinion polls, even those that everyone knows are fraudulent show a
victory for Evo Morales, the presidential candidate of MAS. Morales needs more
than 50 percent to become president, otherwise he has to make pacts and
agreements with other forces he doesn?t want to govern with. The president of
Bolivia is not directly elected. Instead of a second round, the parliament
chooses president.  This means that Morales can win the elections but with
less than 50 percent all other parties can join forces and vote for a right
wing candidate. "We will win", says Morales, "50 plus one" but it is
impossible to tell if he believes that or if he is echoing a slogan.

"We are ready to fight over and over again, and we know how to do it". Julio
Pabon is a member of the FEJUVE board, the federation of neighbourhood
councils in El Alto. They are the ones that have initiated and resisted in all
the important struggles the last five years. But he doesn't have much hope
that things will get better. "The US can invade us or more probable they can
split the country in two pieces, make a civil war and finance their side, in
Santa Cruz"

Santa Cruz is the rich region in the south east. The oil and gas is there, big
business and huge latifundios. Serfs still exist there and nobody dares to
free them. If Santa Cruz became an independent state all the transnational
corporations would be safe. Both the US and Chile, the Latin-American country
with most coast that stole the only coastline Bolivia had in a war hundreds 
years ago, are pouring money into the Santa Cruz civic committee and
separatist movements and parties, making separatism a method for intervention. 
The situation is all but clear, when the neoliberal candidate Jorge Quiroga,
called Tuto will close him campaign in Santa Cruz where he for sure will be
the winner. Tuto along with the other candidates have said that Morales as
president will mean: authoritarian chaos, all private property will be
confiscated, imposition of a magic religion, and that they will grow coca in
the entire country.

In Cochabamba, Claudia Lopez from the Coordinadora del Agua wants to win in
the elections, not to make Morales president or so that MAS can form
government but for them to call for a constituent assembly.""Then the real
change can become true, but many things can happen on the way - bad things."

Evo Morales campaigns on the constituent assembly and it is MAS first priority
he affirms. Apart from that he is quite vague on what a MAS government will
do. "We will govern with three principles: amasua, not steal, amayuya, not
lie, amakella, not be lazy. That is how our ancestors reigned in the time of
the Inca." Indigenous romanticism or a new way to govern?

Many people that put their hope in the future constitution have a vision about
a country governed in a different way, in a more participatory way. When we
look for a new word for democracy we should look for it in aymara or kechua;
the two biggest indigenous languages.. When it comes to resistance, struggle
and persistence Bolivia stand out. A new constitution based on the majority in
the country could mean that a parliament not only would be won but also
changed. Indigenous tradition mixed with contemporary activism has given the
world rich examples of how to handle corporations or get rid of populist
presidents. Hopefully it could also become an example of a modern
transformation of the state. The constituent process is needed to go from
resistance to governance.

The indigenous issue can also cause conflicts and division. The only candidate
more radical than Morales is the aymara leader Felipe Quispe, a 63 years old
experienced indigenous leader that has lead peasant trade unions, armed groups
and served time in jail. Even though he is candidate for president he likes
neither the elections nor the campaign. Quispes discourse is entirely based on
the indigenous issue; he wants a society governed by ayllus and does not like
the present parliamentary system. 
The ayllu, community, was the smallest entity in the Inca Empire. He campaigns
as a way to reach more indigenous communities and he tells me: he has not yet
decided whether they, MIP Movimiento Indigena Pachakutic, will vote in favour
of Morales or abstain in congress.

This Sunday is the day when the future of Bolivia will be at a crossroads. The
country will either continue to be governed by the owning minority or be taken
over by the majority. Next time someone looks down from the visitors? balcony
in the parliament maybe all benches will be full of colours, ponchos and women.
------- End of Forwarded Message -------


---
TCB'n,
Noah

"The foundation of all mental illness is the unwillingness to experience
legitimate suffering."
        - Carl Jung

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