On Sun, Jul 12, 2009 at 10:06:38PM -0700, [email protected] wrote:
> --- On Sun, 7/12/09, Rich Kulawiec <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> > BTW, I've been doing some reading on sea ice breakup
> > mechanisms -- some of which are well understood, some of which are
> > partially understood -- and one of the things that's becoming clear
> > is that cracking seems to have far more of an accelerative effect
> > than previously thought.? 
> 
> This part is something I experimented with for seven years.
> It shouldn't come as any surprise that darkening bright white ice
> accelerates melting, and there's nothing like cracks and resultant
> seepage to do the trick.

Oh, agreed, it's not a surprise that this happens.  Where the uncertainty
seems to lie is in the mathematical modeling of cracking -- that is,
[some of] the models don't seem to fully account for the accelerative
effects.  I think this in turn partially explains why reality keeps turning
out to be worse than forecast.

---Rsk
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