Ah Dan.  There is an error in your logic.  If AV couldn't detect the  
"bot" on a machine, then it is not a bot.  How else would you prove it  
was a bot!  ;)

Charlie

On Sep 28, 2009, at 2:08 PM, Dan Kaminsky wrote:

> This only measures AV detected infections. If I take 10,000 machines
> that did have AV, and 10,000 machines that did not, and compare, say,
> botnet infection rates manually -- is there a difference?
>
> I'm looking for: 'A node running AV is n% less likely to be running
> malicious software than a node not running AV.'.
>
> On Sep 28, 2009, at 2:34 PM, <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>>
>> All logs from a central AV-management console listing what has been
>> detected by the OnAccess scanner on the workstations would qualify
>> as that source of data (after sorting out the things that actually
>> infect a machine from the things AV is expected to detect nowadays
>> in addition). Without AV most entries in that log would have
>> resulted in an infected machine...
>>
>>
>> cheers,
>> Toralv
>>
>>
>>> -----Original Message-----
>>> From: [email protected]
>>> [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Dan Kaminsky
>>> Sent: Monday, September 28, 2009 7:56 PM
>>> To: [email protected]
>>> Cc: [email protected]; [email protected]
>>> Subject: Re: [funsec] No AV? Shock, horror!
>>>
>>> Non-rhetorical question:
>>>
>>> Is there a source of data showing 10,000 machines with AV are
>>> less likely to be infected than 10,000 machines without?
>>>
>>>
>>> On Mon, Sep 28, 2009 at 7:38 PM,  <[email protected]> wrote:
>>>> There are plenty of AV products for *nix platforms.  It's
>>> not that there is a *huge* amount of viruses for those
>>> platforms, it's that those platforms are often accessed by
>>> Windows platforms and the merchant should want to provide a
>>> clean file to a customer...
>>>>
>>>> Mike B
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Michael P. Blanchard
>>>> Senior Security Engineer, CISSP, GCIH, CCSA-NGX, MCSE Office of
>>>> Information Security & Risk Management EMC ² Corporation
>>> 4400 Computer
>>>> Dr.
>>>> Westboro, MA 01580
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> -----Original Message-----
>>>> From: [email protected]
>>> [mailto:[email protected]]
>>>> On Behalf Of Drsolly
>>>> Sent: Friday, September 25, 2009 5:13 PM
>>>> To: Rob, grandpa of Ryan, Trevor, Devon & Hannah
>>>> Cc: [email protected]
>>>> Subject: Re: [funsec] No AV? Shock, horror!
>>>>
>>>> Maybe some merchants don't use Windows?
>>>>
>>>> On Fri, 25 Sep 2009, Rob, grandpa of Ryan, Trevor, Devon &
>>> Hannah wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> PCI survey finds some merchants don't use antivirus software
>>>>>
>>>>> http://www.networkworld.com/news/2009/092309-pci-survey-finds- 
>>>>> some-
>>>>> merchants.html?hpg1=bn
>>>>>
>>>>> (But absolutely no surprise whatsoever ...)
>>>>>
>>>>> ======================  (quote inserted randomly by
>>> Pegasus Mailer)
>>>>> [email protected]     [email protected]
>>>>> [email protected]
>>>>>            Living well is the best revenge.
>>>>>                     George Herbert, 16th century English
>>> clergyman
>>>>> http://victoria.tc.ca/techrev/rms.htm
>>>>> http://blog.isc2.org/isc2_blog/slade/index.html
>>>>> http://twitter.com/rslade
>>>>> http://blogs.securiteam.com/index.php/archives/author/p1/
>>>>> http://twitter.com/NoticeBored
>>>>> _______________________________________________
>>>>> Fun and Misc security discussion for OT posts.
>>>>> https://linuxbox.org/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/funsec
>>>>> Note: funsec is a public and open mailing list.
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> _______________________________________________
>>>> Fun and Misc security discussion for OT posts.
>>>> https://linuxbox.org/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/funsec
>>>> Note: funsec is a public and open mailing list.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> _______________________________________________
>>>> Fun and Misc security discussion for OT posts.
>>>> https://linuxbox.org/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/funsec
>>>> Note: funsec is a public and open mailing list.
>>>>
>>>
>>> _______________________________________________
>>> Fun and Misc security discussion for OT posts.
>>> https://linuxbox.org/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/funsec
>>> Note: funsec is a public and open mailing list.
>>>
>>
>> Firmensitz:     Muenchen
>> Amtsgericht:     AG Muenchen
>> Handelsregister:   HRB 144340
>> Geschaeftsfuehrer: Emmet Russell, Keith Krzeminski, Douglas Rice
>> Bankverbindung:   ABN-Amro Bank N.V. Konto 671 211 9006
>> UST-ID:   DE168122444
>
> _______________________________________________
> Fun and Misc security discussion for OT posts.
> https://linuxbox.org/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/funsec
> Note: funsec is a public and open mailing list.


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