>From: "Andrew Mitchell" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>Subject: OW-WATCH-L Impact of workfare on the labour market
>Date: Wed, 8 Jul 1998 10:27:16 -0700
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>An interesting piece of research landed on my desk yesterday, courtesy of
>the Russell Sage Foundation.  It studied the impact of workfare on the
>macro labour market of New York City.  The title is "Workfare's Impact on
>the New York City Labor Market" and it is by Chris Tilly of the University
>of Massachusetts at Lowell.
>
>He estimated that the "effect of the 30,000 current workfare placements of
>home relief recipients is to displace 20,000 other workers, to reduce wages
>for the bottom third of the workforce by 9%, or some combination of
>these...  The 9% wage drop would reduce average hourly wages for the lowest
>30% of New York's workforce from $6.33 to $5.76.  It is worth emphasizing
>that this estimate is not for City employees alone.  It implies that wages
>will be 9% lower than they would otherwise have been for the bottom third
>of the entire New York City workforce, both public and private."
>
>If the impact is divided between displacement and wage reductions Tilly
>found that each additional 1,000 workfare slots would displace 330 workers
>and lower wages for the lowest paid by 0.15%.
>
>The study can be found at http://tap.epn.org/sage/9701till.html.
>
>Andy Mitchell
>




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