Since we have a number of people on this list with an apparent interest in
a computational approach to social analysis...perhaps they might apply
their thoughts to the discussion in the URL below.

M

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Date: Sun, 06 Dec 1998 09:15:38 -0600
From: Jim Courtney <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: [CE] Year 2000 Problem

Here is a link to an interesting paper on the Y2K problem.  According to
this author, using "conservative" numbers, there is an 87% chance that
society will fail as a result of interdependencies among economic and
social forces.  Using only 1% as the likelihood of failure of any one
segment, there is still a 15% chance of total system failure.  We can all
debate the numbers, and the analysis itself.  Nevertheless, it seem to be a
very critical problem. 

http://www.y2knewswire.com/dominoes.htm

Jim Courtney



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