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Hi all,
I try not to be a doomsayer. I truly believe that world civilizations
will not come to a screeching end on Jan 1, 2000.
Still, I do believe that we may suffer some serious inconveniences,
comparable to fires, floods, earthquakes, tornados, etc. And we have
had all those emergencies in our town within the last few years.
I am a ham (amateur radio operator) and on the board of SPECS, our local
emergency communications group. SPECS serves six communities in Silicon
Valley (including Stanford University) with a combined population of over
200,000. I am planning to encourage SPECS help our communities prepare for
Y2K as a focus for 1999. How better to prepare for the other, natural and
un-natural emergencies, that may come our way.
I am very interested in anyone who is involved in similar pursuits.
Communications is just a small part of a response to disasters, but it
is one that can be (and is being) prepared for by interested citizens
without the need for direction by government agencies. Of course, when
local agencies take the lead, much more can be done.
I encourage everyone on this list to find a way to help your own neighbors
prepare for who knows what.
Dennis Paull, KC6PUN
814 Echo Drive
Los Altos, CA 94024
(for info only)
VP, Southern Peninsula Emergency Communications System (SPECS)
BTW, I am also interested in the more academic discussions on this list.
>
>Since we have a number of people on this list with an apparent interest in
>a computational approach to social analysis...perhaps they might apply
>their thoughts to the discussion in the URL below.
>
>M
>
>-------------------------------------------
>
>Date: Sun, 06 Dec 1998 09:15:38 -0600
>From: Jim Courtney <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>Subject: Re: [CE] Year 2000 Problem
>
>Here is a link to an interesting paper on the Y2K problem. According to
>this author, using "conservative" numbers, there is an 87% chance that
>society will fail as a result of interdependencies among economic and
>social forces. Using only 1% as the likelihood of failure of any one
>segment, there is still a 15% chance of total system failure. We can all
>debate the numbers, and the analysis itself. Nevertheless, it seem to be a
>very critical problem.
>
>http://www.y2knewswire.com/dominoes.htm
>
>Jim Courtney
>
>
>
>
