To: Serious reformers on several mail lists. Hi Folks, This note continues the thread of the previous note of 99-08-04 which compared today's thinking about the global problematique with late 19th century thinking about the national (USA) problematique. The Club Of Rome's term for our global social pathologies, the problematique, seems appropriate for this discussion. It suggests to me an empirical approach to the symptoms of what ails us, all description and measurement, but "without principles adequate for the guidance of public affairs." ONE HUNDRED AND TWELVE YEARS AGO, two years after the American Economic Association (AEA) had been established in 1885, a young member of the "new school of political economy," wrote in Vol. I of the American Economic Review: "All industries, as it appears to me, fall into three classes, according to the relation that exists between the increment of product which results from a given increment of capital or labor. These may be termed industries of constant returns, industries of diminishing returns, and industries of increasing returns. The first two classes of industries are adequately controlled by competitive action; the third class, on the other hand, requires the superior control of state power. Let us consider these in a little more detail. INDUSTRIES OF THE FIRST CLASS Page 55 >>>> Snip an 11 inch column of 3.75 inch long lines <<<<< INDUSTRIES OF THE SECOND CLASS Page 57 >>>> Snip a 13 inch column of 3.75 inch long lines <<<<< INDUSTRIES OF THE THIRD CLASS Page 59 The peculiarity of those industries belonging to the third class, which we now come to consider, lies in the fact that they conform to the law of increasing, rather than to the law of constant or decreasing returns. >>>> Snip a 30 inch column of 3.75 inch long lines <<<<< If it is in the interest of men to combine no law can make them compete. For all industries, therefore, which conform to the principle of increasing returns, the only question at issue is, whether society shall support an irresponsible, extra-legal monopoly, or a monopoly established by law and managed in the interest of the public." Page 64 >>> End excerpt, RELATION OF THE STATE TO INDUSTRIAL ACTION <<< 1887, by Henry Carter Adams We should forgive Mr. Adams for not continuing his inquiry into how the law of increasing returns would affect the financial structure and decision process of households as the nation was transformed, over the next few decades, from an agrarian society of farms and small businesses (nicely regulated by free markets) to the world's most powerful industrial society (where every parenting household is governed by the principle of increasing returns). That line of inquiry was Taboo in Adam's day, and it remains Taboo today in the U.K. and the U.S.A. I cannot, at present, confirm its status in Europe or Asia, but if the American business community has any influence in those places, no one will be discussing increasing returns in Europe or Asia. But for the U.S.A., author Sidney Fine wrote in his book, LAISSEZ FAIRE AND THE GENERAL WELFARE STATE, 1956, page 222: "At the 1888 convention of the Association (AEA), the statement of principles was abandoned, and it was announced that the Association would "take no partisan attitude" nor would it "commit its members to any position on practical economic questions." >>>>>>>>>>> End excerpt from Sidney Fine <<<<<<<<<<< The fpllowing several excerpts from web sites and e-mails are typical of today's thinking about the global problematique. Many of us are thinking about the problems, but there does not yet exist a general theory capable of leading these many points of view toward an acceptable cooperative solution of the global problematique. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 1, http://dove.net.au/~gerhard/ecdest.htm ECONOMIC DESTINY. © Gerhard Weissmann Oct.1997 Those who still believe that economics must be stopped in its tracks must confront the decision whether it is not really wiser to let humanity self-destroy as fast as possible, rather than spend a massive amount of effort to "save" the planet. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 2, http://dove.net.au/~gerhard/virus.htm © Gerhard Weissmann A corollary of the fact that no evidence is necessary for the faith to be accepted is that mystical workings of the faith can be accepted as clear evidence of the substance of the faith. Such is the economic belief in the "unseen hand" of The Market, even the existence of The Market itself, that it is said to always and unerringly establish "optimum efficiency in the allocation of scarce resources". It is of no consequence that the market makes the poor poorer and accumulates the wealth of nations in the hands of fewer and fewer obscenely rich individuals. Economics would have us believe that if the poor were also to accept that faith, then there would be no need to look for socialism and we could all believe that we are rich, - until, of course, we starve to death, give up under competition or are killed by pollution. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 3, Subj: Patenting Plants and People Date: 99-08-20 09:48:38 EDT From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] We need to know clearly what our vision will be........ Their is a war going on for territorial control and domination of the genetic world. Armies of techno warriors armed with lab weapons are invading the subcutaneous world and being manipulated into confrontations with conflicting interests. The outcome of this silent war will be the destiny and future of the planet and the human race. Everyone needs to get clear on what kind of world they want for their descendants and the future generations awaiting dockage on this diverse planet..... Are the few to decide? if so what is their agenda??? what their vision??? their intentions?? or is the general mass in vast chaos of seemingly different contra pulls to just let it happen by undirected force and combination?....... Biophilos ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 4, http://sane.org.za/article6.htm LETS (Local Exchange Trading Systems) A contemporary model of globalization counterpractice? Raff CARMEN, Manchester University >>>>>>>>>>>>> Snip <<<<<<<<<<<<<<< Polanyi had predicted that, left to its own devices, the market is capable of shaking, and destroying, the very foundations of society. That is why 19th-century Britain instituted rules and regulations aimed at strengthening the market, on the one hand, and protect society, on the other. These regulations covered child labour, workers' safety and rules organising financial transactions. What Polanyi foresaw was due to happen on a national scale is now in the process of being realised on a global scale. This brings Susan George to conclude that: "paradoxically, if we want to protect the market which renders us so many services, it is urgent, if not vital that we should protect it to prevent it from going into self-destructive spiral which will carry us all in its wake" (George, 1995:23) >>>>>>>>>>>> Snip <<<<<<<<<<<<<<< Michael Linton, a bodywork teacher and business school graduate, who emigrated from Britain to Canada in the seventies, founded Landsman Community Services Ltd in Courtenay, a mining town in the Comox Valley near Vancouver in Canadian British Columbia. It is important to note that all present LETSystems derive from and are patterned on this original 1983 Comox model. Linton had analysed the relationship between poverty and social and environmental issues and noticed that, in every community, the level of trading was directly dependant on the flow of national currency through the internal economy. He proposed the use of a 'green dollar' as an alternative basis for exchange. Landsman was Linton's own exchange initiative ('LETS' was also coined by him). The model subsequently spread to several other communities on Vancouver Island, while others preferred to use their own system with their own rules. >>>>>>>>>>>> Snip <<<<<<<<<<<<<<< For the purposes of this article, I did find a lot of information on LETS through local contacts, but I found at least as much, if not more up-to-date 'stuff' on the pages of the Internet: from info packs on LETS, handbooks, discussion groups to articles and entire dissertations. This, while the local University Library, including the supposedly 'specialised' Lewis Economics and Manchester Business School (MBS) libraries are virtually sterile of that information which is such a boon and so fundamental for local economy initiatives: "trade locally and network globally" has now become a technological feasibility, too. ---- Raff Carmen, Manchester 28 May 1996/up-dated June 1996/Dec1997 ------ >>>>>>>>> End Raff CARMEN, Manchester University <<<<<<<<<< ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 5, From URL <http://www.undp.org/hdro/10year.html> ASSESSING HUMAN DEVELOPMENT AMARTYA SEN, 1998 NOBEL LAUREATE IN ECONOMICS The human development index (HDI), which the Human Development Report has made into something of a flagship, has been rather successful in serving as an alternative measure of development, supplementing GNP. Based as it is on three distinct components—indicators of longevity, education and income per head—it is not exclusively focused on economic opulence (as GNP is). Within the limits of these three components, the HDI has served to broaden substantially the empirical attention that the assessment of development processes receives. >>>>>>>>>>> Snip <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<< “We need a measure”, Mahbub demanded, “of the same level of vulgarity as GNP—just one number—but a measure that is not as blind to social aspects of human lives as GNP is.” Mahbub hoped that not only would the HDI be something of an improvement on—or at least a helpful supplement to—GNP, but also that it would serve to broaden public interest in the other variables that are plentifully analysed in the Human Development Report. Mahbub got this exactly right, I have to admit, and I am very glad that we did not manage to deflect him from seeking a crude measure. By skilful use of the attracting power of the HDI, Mahbub got readers to take an involved interest in the large class of systematic tables and detailed critical analyses presented in the Human Development Report. The crude index spoke loud and clear and received intelligent attention and through that vehicle the complex reality contained in the rest of the Report also found an interested audience. AMARTYA SEN, 1998 NOBEL LAUREATE IN ECONOMICS ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 6, ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Thu, 15 Jul 1999 18:19:59 -0700 (PDT) From: MichaelP <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: "unlikely.suspects": Subject: Susan George- How to Win the War of Ideas: >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Snip <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<< The exclusion of a third or more of their members is, however, precisely the situation that obtains in societies regulated almost exclusively by the "laws of the market." There is a dangerous semantic slippage from "law" to "laws of the market"; from the body of democratically established rules for the proper functioning of society to the blind operation of economic forces. Neoliberals want "market law" to become the sovereign judge of the rights of persons and of societies as a whole. >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Snip <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<< Hegel claimed that the only thing history teaches us is that nobody ever learns anything from history. Recent history, if we are attentive, might still teach us that a society can go from law based on the equality of persons to the laws of the market; from relative social justice to deep and chronic inequalities within a few short years. The neoliberals' onslaught continues and their intellectual hegemony is almost complete. Those who refuse to act on the knowledge that ideas have consequences end up suffering them. Susan George is an author and associate director of The Transnational Institute in Amsterdam. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 7, Bank of Good Will http://www.bgw.net/bgw_int/inth.htm "The movement of the global economy is "regulated" by "a worldwide process of debt collection" which constricts the institutions of the national state and contributes to destroying employment and economic activity." from "The Globalization of Poverty" by Michel Chossudovsky. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 8, http://www.cyberclass.net/bartable.htm Tom J. Kennedy. "barter" and "LETS" (WSB: A splendid listing of articles and papers on global financial reform. WSB) ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 9, Subj: Interesting - anti-Americanism or a point? Date: 99-08-17 08:14:45 EDT From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] (M.Blackmore) To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] CC: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Copied from a discussion... any comments anyone? Is "globalisation" really an American issue? "Will we permit the future history of the world to become the history of America? Of the American Corporation - or more precisely the American-dominated financial system? And just how short a history will we allow it to be? For globalisation isn't really a world phenomenon - it is largely American organisations with their culture, outlook, strategies and philosophies, which define the lives more and more people lead - and the deaths they die. It is a phenomenon from a particular place and time imposed upon global place and time. At least for now. This America extends its frontiers into new worlds, and takes over old ones. It strides time and space in a simultaneous perversion and continuation of its peculiar historical psychology of conquest. It now seeks to extend these frontiers into the totality of the human mind (or was the American Dream always a conquest of the mind?) Unprecededented control of information via corporatly controlled media creates corporately made minds, a populace with limited understanding of the real world they inhabit, shaped by selected information and mythologies of freedom. An engineered world-view to override all other perceived possibilities - there can be no alternative, therefore there is no alternative. Their reality may be hell or an ersatz heaven for those (anxiously) within reach of the orbits of privilege. But the reality of possibility that can be mentally grasped by the "kept stupid" is filtered through mindsets selected, designed, packaged and presented for consumption and for specific purposes. Even in rebellion - for the people are not happy but know not what to do - rebellion is channeled into paths that simultaneously emasculate possibilities for unravelling power, allows useful release for the minority who fail to be passive, and the excuse to suppress those who push too hard. If alternative ways are either inconceivable or, the very act of being different can only be dreams without possibility of substance, challenge to dominant power becomes impossible. And that forthcoming history a short history? Indeed. For without turning from the current course of environmental and human degradation future world history - or the history of civilisation - may be very short". >>>>>>>> End excerpt from <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> <<<<<<<<<< The above nine examples of contemporary thinking exhibit a complete absence of "principles adequate for the guidance of public affairs." But beginning in January 1999, three independent parties moved to establish such principles in the public domain, inspite of the continuing taboo on this line of inquiry: 1, [EMAIL PROTECTED] (DEREK Y DARVES) posted "the only technically valid global model on the internet," consisting of some text plus Figures 1, 2-3, 6, 7-9, 8b, and 10 at URL <http://www.freespeech.org/darves/>. 2, At about the same time, I only recently found this site, Ian Ritchie of New Zealand posted a different slice of "the only technically valid global model on the internet," consisting of text plus Figures 7-9, and 6 only, at URL <http://www.geocities.com/Athens/Academy/3142/IR/items/19990119WesBurtSustaina bleFuture.html>. 3, Six months later, July 1999, Paul Dumais' FAQ Economics website was established at URL <http://plaza.powersurfr.com/Usalama/economics.html> to shed some light on the role of H. C. Adams' "increasing returns" as an obstacle to proper dispatching of today's interconnected electric power systems with automated computing/control hardware. We may estimate the power of the continuing taboo on this line of inquiry from the response to the above two postings in January. The two sites were up for six months before Paul Dumais became the only person to ask a specific question about the structure and principles of the global model. And since Paul established his FAQ Economics website, there has been no further discussion or response to any of the three web sites, to the best of my knowledge. Surely, there is more involved here than meets the eye. In item 9, above, M. Blackmore of the U.K. floats a trial balloon to determine if world public opinion is holding the U.S. responsible for the lack of progress toward a solution of the global problematique. Tom Lunde replied thoughtfully to that trial balloon, and Jan Matthieu questioned most of Tom's reply, so Mr. Blackmore changed the subject to Lawrence Summers' memo. I would have replied in the affirmative to that trial balloon. The process of globalization carried out by Great Britain in the 19th century continues through the 20th century by force of U.S. industrial and military power, and will continue for several decades into the 21st century. If the world does not like the results it sees all around, the world should make the internal operations and social policies of U.S. society its primary field of study. It is not enough to demonize the economics profession, to hate capitalism, to hate markets, to hate international corporations, or to resent Americans. We need more than one slow-witted, inarticulate, old mechanical engineer to put our largest industrial society in a proper conceptual framework so that each of us can see it whole and know why it operates with 4-10% unemployment, 2-3%/year inflation, and a 5% of GNP deficiency of purchasing power in the lower half of the workforce. Remember, by your silence on this issue, you encourage folks to believe that you are a Determined Defender of the Status Quo. Looking forward to more traffic at those three web sites, WesBurt