While the media beats the drums of drama into a frenzy over N. Korea’s alleged underground nuclear test (awaiting cannot confirm of any radiation), here are some items of interest. This grabbed my attention when it came across my desk early this morning, prompting me to weave the following two together:

Bernanke: Start Saving Now. “While politicians and economists have warned of a coming squeeze on Social Security and Medicare (while debating possible solutions) for several years now, Bernanke's speech attached some fresh Fed numbers to the issue. The Fed's latest projection, he said, shows that Medicare and Social Security will require funding equal to 20% of U.S. economic output by 2030, up from about 8% today. Bernanke said a 4% cut in consumption by the current generation is necessary to avoid a 14% cut in the future, if the two big entitlement programs are to stay solvent.”  http://www.forbes.com/business/2006/10/04/fed-bernanke-speaks-biz-cx_tvr_1004bernanke.html

 

Not only have middle class incomes become stagnant, they are increasing unstable.

The Great Risk Shift: The Assault on American Jobs, Families, Health Care, and Retirement - And How You Can Fight Back

by Jacob Hacker, Oxford University Press, 256 pages.

From the Introduction:  “We all know something about rising inequality in the United States....Yet we have heard much less about rising insecurity, the growing risk of slipping from the economic ladder itself....Consider some alarming facts. Personal bankruptcies has gone from a rare occurrence to a routine one....Since the early 1970s, the mortgage foreclosure rate has increased fivefold....Meanwhile, the number of Americans who lack health insurance has increased with little interruption over the last twenty-five years.

 

....Perhaps most alarming of all, American family incomes are now on a frightening roller coaster, rising and falling much more sharply from year to year than they did thirty years ago....And this rising insecurity does not come with any obvious silver lings. The chance that families will see their income plummet has risen. The chance that they experience long-term movement up the income ladder has not.

 

Publisher’s Comments: “The book documents how two great pillars of economic security--the family and the workplace--guarantee far less financial stability than they once did. The final leg of economic support--the public and private benefits that workers and families get when economic disaster strikes--has dangerously eroded as political leaders and corporations increasingly cut back protections of our health care, our income security, and our retirement pensions. Hacker concludes by advocating an insurance and opportunity society that would safe guard economic security and expand economic opportunity, ensuring that all Americans have the basic financial security they need to reach for and achieve the American Dream.” http://www.powells.com/biblio/7-1135655723-0

 

The War Against Wages

Major employers like Wal-Mart have decided that their interests are best served by treating workers as a disposable commodity.

By Paul Krugman, NYT, Oct 06, 2006

 

Should we be cheering over the fact that the Dow Jones Industrial Average has finally set a new record? No. The Dow is doing well largely because American employers are waging a successful war against wages. ...[C]onsider the latest news from Wal-Mart. Wal-Mart already has a well-deserved reputation for paying low wages and offering few benefits...; last year, an internal Wal-Mart memo conceded that 46% of its workers’ children were either on Medicaid or lacked health insurance. Nonetheless, the memo expressed concern that wages and benefits were rising, in part “because we pay an associate more in salary and benefits as his or her tenure increases.”

 

The problem from the company’s point of view, then, is that its workers are too loyal; ... not enough workers quit before acquiring the right to higher wages and benefits. Among the policy changes the memo suggested to deal with this problem was a shift to hiring more part-time workers...And the strategy is being put into effect. ... Wal-Mart ... wants to transform its work force to 40% part-time from 20%.” Another leaked Wal-Mart memo describes a plan to impose wage caps, so that long-term employees won’t get raises. And the company is taking other steps to keep workers from staying too long: in some stores, according to workers, “managers have suddenly barred older employees with back or leg problems from sitting on stools.”

 

It’s a brutal strategy. Once upon a time a company that treated its workers this badly would have made itself a prime target for union organizers. But Wal-Mart doesn’t have to worry about that, because it knows that these days the people who are supposed to enforce labor laws are on the side of the employers, not the workers.

 

Since 1935, U.S. workers considering whether to join a union have been protected by the National Labor Relations Act... For a long time the law was effective: workers were reasonably well protected against employer intimidation, and the union movement flourished.

 

In the 1970’s, however, employers began a successful campaign to roll back unions. ... thanks to America’s political shift to the right. And now that the shift to the right has gone even further, political appointees are seeking to remove whatever protection for workers’ rights that the labor relations law still provides.

 

The Republican majority on the National Labor Relations Board ... has just declared that millions of workers who thought they had the right to join unions don’t. You see, the act grants that right only to workers who aren’t supervisors. And the board, ruling on a case involving nurses, has declared that millions of workers who occasionally give other workers instructions can now be considered supervisors.

 

As the dissent from the Democrats on the board makes clear, the majority bent over backward, violating the spirit of the law, to reduce workers’ bargaining power.

 

So what’s keeping paychecks down? Major employers like Wal-Mart have decided that their interests are best served by treating workers as a disposable commodity, paid as little as possible and encouraged to leave after a year or two. And these employers don’t worry that angry workers will respond to their war on wages by forming unions, because they know that government officials, who are supposed to protect workers’ rights, will do everything they can to come down on the side of the wage-cutters.

 

http://economistsview.typepad.com/economistsview/2006/10/paul_krugman_th_1.html

 

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