|
In case anyone
is interested, here is the full report in The Lancet, a pdf of 8 pages http://www.thelancet.com/webfiles/images/journals/lancet/s0140673606694919.pdf with this
extracted: The crude mortality rate in the
pre-invasion period was 5·5 per 1000 people per year (95% CI 4·3–7·1) and for
the overall post-invasion period was 13·3 per 1000 people per year (10·9–16·1; table 3). A four-fold increase in the crude mortality
rate was recorded during the study period, with a high of 19·8 per 1000 people
per year (14·6–26·7) between June, 2005, and June, 2006 (figure 2 and table 3). Post-invasion excess mortality
rates showed much the same escalating trend, rising from 2·6 per 1000 people
per year (0·6–4·7) above the baseline rate in 2003 to 14·2 per 1000 people per
year (8·6–21·5) in 2006 (figure 2 and table 3). Excess mortality is attributed
mainly to an increase in the violent death rate; however, an increase in the
non-violent death rate was noted in the later part of the post-invasion period
(2005–06). The post-invasion non-violent excess mortality rate was 0·7 per 1000
people per year (–1·2 to 3·0). Violent deaths that were directly
attributed to coalition forces or to air strikes were classified as coalition
violent deaths. In many other cases the responsible party was not known, or the
households were hesitant to specifically identify them. Deaths attributable to the coalition accounted for 31% (95% CI 26–37) of
post-invasion violent deaths. The
proportion of violent deaths attributable to the coalition was much the same
across periods (p=0·058). However, the actual number of violent deaths,
including those that resulted from coalition forces, increased every year after
the invasion. Deaths in men of military age,
defined as 15–44 years of age, were disproportionately high and accounted for
59% (52–65) of post-invasion violent deaths, despite this subgroup accounting
for only 24·4% of the Iraqi population.16 No difference in the proportion
of violent deaths in men of military age was noted between deaths attributed to
the coalition or other/unknown sources (p=0·168). Mortality rates by
Governorate are shown in figure 3. |
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