Hi Keith,

Some questions and comments below:

Keith Hudson wrote:
Ed,

I don't agree with the original author of the article that there'll be an increasing servants and nannie class. (a) The middle class have a host of labour-saving devices now. (b) The bottom classes are nowhere near as conditioned and biddable as they were in pre-WW2 days. (c) Residences are highly stratified now.The rich and the poor don't live adjacently as they used to a century ago. The rich and the upper middle class are increasingly living in highly secure areas with no entrance for anybody without a specific purpose.
Many professions fall into these categories still, though their services are not by any stretch exclusively consumed by the middle or upper classes. Here in B.C., the top two industries are hospitality and tourism. Under hospitality, we have the huge sector of caregivers Ed mentioned, who may be certified or not, but are typically reimbursed, directly or indirectly, by government. Our province is famous for attracting retirees, and the aging baby-boomers will provide such servant-class positions for a few decades. Caregivers are now the new breed of domestic, with, as you describe, some value-added skills. All classes of seniors qualify for basic health care in-home or public residential services. Wages are pretty much pathetic, even for the better paid amongst them. Bottom wages ($8.00) are paid to live-ins, predominantly immigrants from the Philippines who will save money to send back home. For established BC residents, with costly homes/rents, families and pets, these assignments are untenable and cost prohibitive. As to actual nannies, increasing in numbers due to double family incomes, they are again live-in Philippine or early child care workers usually in daycare settings.

Another sub-category of servants would be that of home maintenance/gardening, but few are on-site even in wealthier homes today because of better equipment within the trades and specialization of skills. Tourist trade positions also attract immigrants/students; some in wilderness resorts that provide accommodation, but most reside in towns where larger chains, thanks to Mc Donalds lobbying, are able not only to have employees on call for only one hour's labour, but can dish out starting wages below minimum to students. Obviously, many unskilled other workers are forced into these jobs, too, and will remain at this level into old age. Many chains do not allow tipping, so they can't even hope to improve their meager wage.

BC is but the prettiest place in Canada that is filling up with senior retirees, and like the undertakers and pharmacists, there'll continue to be jobs for those looking after them.

As real value-adding work moves upstream (educationally) then I think the underclasses and the poor will be left where they live now. Already in many of our housing ('sink') estates in the UK the shops have long left, the police hardly ever visit, community premises are vandalized, schools have the lowest grades of teachers (either inexperienced or those who have failed elsewhere), there are no sports facilities, social workers (who don't live there, of course) work from steel-containers offices, etc, As the welfare state is cut back due to the new austerity even social workers will make sure of scheduling their daily diaries elsewhere. Welfare benefits will be delivered by Securicor vans and armed guards. Very little private charity work will be taking place, as in Victorian England because the worthy ladies are now at work (usually earning salaries several times more than the average person could earn)..
Don't Welfare payments get delivered primarily by direct deposit? I realize not everyone has an address or a bank account, but they would be the exception.

Private charity work, to you, means what? Here, government depends on armies of volunteers to pick up the slack where once they delivered. This sector is far more organized and prevalent than before, though as government has been cutting off funding, they are admittedly cash challenged. Typically, they'll hire people to canvass corporations or to motivate volunteers to solicit funds. But these volunteers are a good example of those who often should be paid for their valuable services, and at one time would have been, but government is systematically slashing where society's most vulnerable are concerned, demanding that NGOs undergo tight qualifying standards for ever-diminishing grants. Where BC Lottery Corp. used to fund worthy seniors and recreational charities, funds were cut without notice mid-program. Then only partially restored due to public outcry. But gaming appears to have been taken over by government crime bosses, and the province is opening up casinos. On-line gambling now has a $9,999.00 limit. But there's no money for education, health care, the arts, renewable energies or infrastructural maintenance. What are they building here? Certainly not minds to take over in future. Is this something one would call sound investment by government? Or could our values be altered before the pot is gone? (We pissed away a billion on security for the Olympics. In Toronto, they paid out the same for security for the G8/G20. A ridiculously expensive location to secure, chosen by Harper to punish the city for not electing any neo-cons, as a resident friend put it.)

I think many parts of the big cities and many peripheral housing estates will look more and more like the favelas that you knew in Sao Paulo. The only entities (apart from drug gangs) that I can think of which will want to go into these areas in a meaningful way on a daily basis will be private schools so long as they receive a decent income per pupil (e.g. the same as the per capita cost of the present state system). They'll be looking for, and teaching, pupils with exceptional talent who are being increasingly sought by the universities and for which, in due course, bonuses (like soccer transfer fees) will be paid.

The new government in the UK, since its election a couple of months ago, is already opening application lists for businesses, charities, groups of parents, groups of teachers, who want to start new independent schools in September this year. About 600 such have already applied. Almost all these applications so far are from middle-class people for schools in middle-class areas. But, in due course, -- if the present impetus is maintained -- I think we might see an increasing number of business proposals by competent firms able to move into the most broken-down, untruly areas and run fine schools for those parents (probably mostly single parents) who are strongly motivated to see that their children are given worthwhile skills.
If corporations are involved, one can just imagine the worthwhile skills: those that will further the interests, ie. profits of corporations. And, as you say, they will be successful, though not necessarily because of competence, but because of ability to self-fund. Yet if parents are truly concerned for children's futures, then only sustainable industry should be considered in this process. Sustainable encompasses every facet of society which is not harmful to it.


There has been too much whiff-whaff about education in the past few decades. It is not about " a desire for learning" or "creativity" or "opening young minds", etc. This is fine for children of the elite and upper middle class who already have social confidence before they go to school, who know during school that it's highly likely that there'll be a good job for them somewhere in their parents' world, who have time, leisure and sports facilities in a secure environment. But for 70% of the children in the past 50 years most post-puberty education at school has been a waste of time, and half of those children have been actively alienated from anything to do with "learning". What they've really wanted were tangible skills.
I can't quite tell if you're speaking for the masses, or voicing a personal view. Tangible skills come and go, but even these are lost on the undeveloped mind in real life situations that demand more than memorized facts, and both society and the individual need all senses nurtured, as Ray keeps reminding us, for optimum health, resourcefulness and achievement of mastery alike. I can understand that if skills are not imparted, kids will not be able to earn a living in the immediate future, but education is so much more than preparing for just one set of skills. And must they be limited to an education for positions designed for them by IT, or could we teach them how to use all of what they've got--not only for the sake of nurturing their capacity, but for the fact that IT is going to evolve, may even not have much future should our earth experience significant change. Skills taught in schools today are primarily boring, for a boring, hurtful market with no future that is failing them today. Children deserve /choice/ here, too, but as with increasing privatization of government responsibilities, education will become ever more corporatized away from genuine values, and humanity will no longer know itself nor the world which could have stayed a paradise. Who's consulting with students for these vapid plans? My bet is that we should start immediately, and that we'll bring about better minds and systems far sooner, /without selective breeding./

Natalia


Keith
At 08:41 24/07/2010 -0400, you wrote:
If I read this correctly, we are heading for a major socio-economic split. Those with an aptitude for IT and all of its uses will rise and everybody else will fall. This suggests the emergence or continuity of yet another socio-economic category, that of the care-givers and organizers. Assuming the growth of an increasingly impoverished nanny class, a world could emerge in which a great number of people have little to do other than bow, scrape and mill about when they are not peddling drugs and commiting petty crimes. Given that the IT class, the best and the brightest, will spend its time perpetually staring into and poking at little machines, there will be a great emergent need to ensure that society does not collapse into chaos. A leadership class, perhaps consisting of some of the best and brightest will have to be present to ensure that everyone has a chance of staying alive and healthy. Or perhaps all I'm saying is that we might expect to see lawyers, doctors, bureaucrats, social workers, police and politicians to continue to organize and look after things whatever other splits occur in society. However, they would be increasingly indebted to the IT overclass, which would make life easier for them by poking away and devising new programs. Ed

Keith Hudson, Saltford, England

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