-----Original Message-----
From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of gary
Sent: Tuesday, August 31, 2010 11:11 PM
To: Triumph of Content
Subject: [TriumphOfContent] Charts: College Tuition vs. Housing Bubble vs.
Medical Costs


  


 
 

Sent to you by gary via Google Reader:

 
 


Charts:
<http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/Mymoneyblog/~3/H64SaWzyWb8/charts-college-tu
ition-vs-housing-bubble-vs-medical-costs.html> College Tuition vs. Housing
Bubble vs. Medical Costs

via My Money Blog <http://www.mymoneyblog.com>  by Jonathan on 8/31/10

 
<http://api.tweetmeme.com/share?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.mymoneyblog.com%2Fchart
s-college-tuition-vs-housing-bubble-vs-medical-costs.html> 


  <http://www.mymoneyblog.com/images/1007/tuition.gif> 

This chart from Clusterstock
<http://www.businessinsider.com/chart-of-the-day-tuition-home-prices-cpi-201
0-7>  (via Carpe
<http://mjperry.blogspot.com/2010/06/higher-education-bubble-its-about-to.ht
ml> Diem) shows the cost of college tuition comparison to historical housing
prices and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the same period. The CPI is
designed to track our cost of living by estimating the average price of
consumer goods and services purchased by households. Everything was
normalized to 100 starting in 1978.

While housing went up 4x at its peak (~400), college tuition has gone up
over 10x. Instapundit Glenn Reynolds says the higher
<http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/columns/Sunday_Reflections/Higher
-education_s-bubble-is-about-to-burst-95639354.html> education bubble is
about to burst:

It's a story of an industry that may sound familiar. The buyers think what
they're buying will appreciate in value, making them rich in the future. The
product grows more and more elaborate, and more and more expensive, but the
expense is offset by cheap credit provided by sellers eager to encourage
buyers to buy.

Buyers see that everyone else is taking on mounds of debt, and so are more
comfortable when they do so themselves; besides, for a generation, the value
of what they're buying has gone up steadily. What could go wrong? Everything
continues smoothly until, at some point, it doesn't.

Yes, this sounds like the housing bubble, but I'm afraid it's also sounding
a lot like a still-inflating higher education bubble. And despite (or
because of) the fact that my day job involves higher education, I think it's
better for us to face up to what's going on before the bubble bursts
messily.

The college tuition prices being tracked in the chart was done by the CPI
for US cities for "College Tuition and Fees". According to this BLS.gov link
<http://www.bls.gov/cpi/cpifacct.htm> , this tracks actual expenditures by
households, and not some measure of median college tuition, which is often
just the "retail price" before various forms of financial aid and/or
scholarships.

Another hot topic is the rapidly rising cost of health care. Well, college
tuition CPI beats that too, from this Wikipedia chart
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/College_tuition> :

  <http://www.mymoneyblog.com/images/1007/tuition2.gif> 

I know that I'm scared to imagine what college will cost in another 20
years. Dealing with this issue will be tricky, with huge amounts of easy
government credit being given to 18-year-olds that are being told by
everyone (including parents) that it is totally worth it. For many people,
it will indeed be worth it. For others, not so much.

In my humble opinion, it also seems obvious that this trend can't survive
forever. But will it burst like a bubble? Perhaps if the government turns
off the loans suddenly, but that seems unlikely. I like Reynold's idea that
there may be an educational revolution with the internet, online coursework,
and changing educational standards.

 
<http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/Mymoneyblog?a=H64SaWzyWb8:YPuKDCLXQuo:D7DqB
2pKExk>
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Myn0Lo>
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FwOqvQ>
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UoC8zA>
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K7rITs>  
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