http://www.alternet.org/food/154855/monsanto_threatens_to_sue_vermont_if_leg
islators_pass_a_bill_requiring_gmo_food_to_be_labeled/?page=entire

 

reh

 

From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Keith Hudson
Sent: Saturday, April 07, 2012 3:22 AM
To: RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, , EDUCATION
Subject: [Futurework] QED?

 

>From now onwards, the West is generally moving away from consumer
product-led economic growth (if indeed it exists at all at present outside
questionable government statistics). Most of us now have a standard house
and a standard stock of goods and equipment within it. Unless some amazing
and uniquely new consumer product comes along then most of us are now pretty
fully occupied time-wise and space-wise with what we have already.

While the comfortable 20-class will no doubt continue to keep fully
up-to-date with the very latest versions and fashions of the existing stock
of goods in order to maintain their status well ahead of the 80-class, the
latter have only been able to catch up in the last 20 to 30 years or so
because of steadily cheaper goods from Asia and by having ready access to
credit which banks have been showering upon them -- up until 2008 anyway.
Also, a majority of the 80-class are taxation-neutral, or even
taxation-negative, by virtue of receiving transfer payments from the
20-class via governments.

>From now onwards, economic growth (if it can be called that) will take place
along two main tracks. The first track is that of increasingly sophisticated
producer goods (involving much more automation and computerization among
other things) and a more efficient energy infrastructure.  Here we may note
that China is already moving bodily into this sector even before its own
consumer revolution is fully complete. For example, unfortunately for
America, China is now building its own state-of-the-art aircraft and
aero-engines; unfortunately for Germany, China is now building the latest
computerized machine tools; unfortunately for both America and Europe, China
is now building an extensive high-speed railway system that will make its
own domestic economy so much more efficient than ours.

The other track is that of consumer services, particularly in education and
health. Because high attainment in both of these will increasingly depend on
a deep knowledge of the genetic and epigenetic predispositions of the
individual, then this is where the West still has a clear lead over China.
The vast bulk of front-line research in these areas still resides in
America, Germany and the UK. Until China can shake off its authoritarian
state school methods which (by its own government's admission) severely
cramp creativity among its young people, then the West will be able to
retain its advantage for at least, let us say, one or two generations to
come.

But how will education and health services develop in the West?  It's all
very well saying that we are trail-blazing the necessary fundamental
research, but both areas are chock-a-block with restrictive practices. Also,
because both services will increasingly depend on the specific genetics and
epigenetics of the individual customer, such customized services are going
to be increasingly expensive. Will governments be able to tax their
electorates sufficiently to pay for these services more widely? Will
sufficient numbers of highly skilled teachers and doctors be taught and
allowed into these professions?

Those are questions which I wouldn't like to give definite answers to. As
regards serving the 80-classes in both China and the West, each has their
own specific educational deficiencies to overcome.  But maybe we have a clue
already. The better-off 20-class of Chinese parents are increasingly sending
their children (and at younger ages) to the minority of  private 20-class
schools and universities in the West; and the more enterprising 20-class
schools and universities of the West are increasingly setting up shop in
China. Meanwhile, for economic reasons, the 80-class families of both the
West and China will probably continue their sub-replacement sizes and thus
disappear to zero in the next three of four generations. Quod erat
demonstrandum? 

Keith




Keith Hudson, Saltford, England http://allisstatus.wordpress.com
<http://allisstatus.wordpress.com/> 
  

_______________________________________________
Futurework mailing list
[email protected]
https://lists.uwaterloo.ca/mailman/listinfo/futurework

Reply via email to