Yup, you could do all kinds of things as long as the economy is healthy and the 
banking system is stable.  But sometimes the banks get into serious trouble, as 
in the case of the subprime mortgage crisis of 2008.  Governments may then have 
to initiate costly programs like the Troubled Assets Relief Program (TARP), 
which is what the US felt it had to do.

Ed

  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: Ray Harrell 
  To: 'RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION,EDUCATION' 
  Sent: Monday, June 04, 2012 12:17 AM
  Subject: Re: [Futurework] [Ottawadissenters] A little more on the Euro


  You could charge the banks for services to the economy.   Not just taxes but 
tolls and as they charge Indian casinos here for state police, they could 
charge the banks for protections against crime.     They could also forbid 
banks from hiring their own police.   There are all kinds of ways that banks 
and corporations that take advantage of national services and then become loyal 
only to shareholders could be charged for services.   Is that a beehive that 
the banks really want to anger?   Banks don't have armies, nations do, even 
Greece.   WWIII or just more fun with guns and bombs? 

   

  REH

   

  From: [email protected] 
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Ed Weick
  Sent: Sunday, June 03, 2012 10:38 AM
  To: RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, EDUCATION
  Subject: Re: [Futurework] [Ottawadissenters] A little more on the Euro

   

  A couple of points, Lawry.  One is that the banking system is highly 
connected internationally.  To lend money to the Greek or Spanish governments, 
Greek or Spanish banks borrowed money from banks in other countries.  The 
impact would likely be similar to that of the American sub-prime mortgage 
crisis of some four years ago.  Via the widely traded Consolidated Debt 
Obligations it was not only American banks that lost a lot of money, but 
foreign banks as well.  I think defaults by the highly leveraged members of the 
EU would have a much larger negative impact than the sub-prime crisis.

   

  The other point is that the EU governments of Greece, Italy, Spain, Ireland 
and perhaps others (France?) have kept themselves going by borrowing huge sums 
of money.  If they defaulted, it is unlikely that anyone would want to lend to 
them.  What might that mean in terms peace, stability and living standards in 
those countries?

   

  Ed 

   

   

    ----- Original Message ----- 

    From: de Bivort Lawrence 

    To: [email protected] 

    Cc: 'RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION,EDUCATION' 

    Sent: Sunday, June 03, 2012 10:17 AM

    Subject: Re: [Futurework] [Ottawadissenters] A little more on the Euro

     

    A simplistic question, but one that may, I hope, cut to the chase: 

     

    What is the problem if Greece and perhaps Italy and Spain simply default on 
their debts, and do nothing else? I can readily see that lenders would 
subsequently shy away from making any new loans to those countries, of course, 
but...so what?

     

    Can we build a damage/risk tree out from this initial question?

     

    Cheers,

    Lawry

     

     

     

     

    On Jun 3, 2012, at 9:20 AM, Ed Weick wrote:





      

     

    There seemed to be some agreement yesterday that exit from the EU by Greece 
and perhaps others like Spain and Italy was inevitable.  But is it really?  
Greece, Spain and a few other countries have huge debts -- but debts that are 
denominated in Euros.  It is highly unlikely that creditors would accept 
repayment in far less stable currencies like the drachma or the peseta, and 
default by some of the larger EU debtors could wreak havoc with the 
international banking system.  Exit from the EU is, IMHO, most unlikely unless 
someone steps in and provides the kind of bailout supports needed.  Perhaps the 
IMF or, as Barry suggested, Russia?  For a countries like Greece or Spain, 
would being beholden to Russia be better than being under Germany's thumb?

     

    Ed

     

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