Sounds like a Gilbert and Sullivan song.   Have you been practicing?

 

REH

 

From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Harry Pollard
Sent: Monday, June 04, 2012 10:19 PM
To: RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, EDUCATION
Subject: Re: [Futurework] Fwd: [Ottawadissenters] A little more on the Euro

 

How did this happen? And I don't even have any Indian blood - I think.

 

I'm glad to see you are still active and busy.

 

As for me I'm in pretty good shape considering the shape I'm in!

 

Harry

\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ 

 

On Mon, Jun 4, 2012 at 12:51 PM, Ray Harrell <[email protected]> wrote:

Good grief!   Harry and I agree.

 

(smile)  How you doin oldman?

 

REH

 

From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Harry Pollard
Sent: Monday, June 04, 2012 12:19 PM
To: RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, EDUCATION
Subject: Re: [Futurework] Fwd: [Ottawadissenters] A little more on the Euro

 

The advantage of separate currencies for different states is that when a
state begins to play fast and loose with its economy, the currency begins to
weaken. This is an obvious reminder to change its ways.

 

The "Greek Euro" could not be allowed to weaken in response to the Grecian
antics so the present problems mounted.

 

The desperate efforts to save the Euro are likely to bring down the stronger
states - if they don't cast loose and return to their individual currencies
- or chuck Greece out of the Euro (a temporary measure).

 

Or, they could become a United States of Europe - an unlikely venture.

 

Harry

--------------------------

 

On Mon, Jun 4, 2012 at 8:28 AM, de Bivort Lawrence <[email protected]>
wrote:

 

 

Begin forwarded message:

 

From: de Bivort Lawrence <[email protected]>

Date: June 4, 2012 11:27:47 AM EDT

To: [email protected]

Subject: Re: [Futurework] [Ottawadissenters] A little more on the Euro

 

Thanks, Ed,

 

I understand the interconnected nature of the financial industry. In part,
if I am not mistaken, it is a result of individual financial institutions
wanting to lay off risk by selling debts to others (and sometimes
misrepresenting the value of those debts to the buyer).  The
interconnectedness is, as I understand it, a matter of financial strategy
and choice.

 

So let's say that the general consequence, from your note, of a borrowing
country defaulting is that other potential lenders will not want to lend to
the defaulter. You ask what this might mean to the peace, stability and
living standards of the defaulter.   I would guess that the stability and
living standards would suffer. I doubt that "peace" would be affected, but I
may be misunderstanding what you mean by this term.  

 

So with regard to the stability and living standards of the defaulter, which
-- yes -- would suffer int he case of a default, I'll ask another naive
question: so what?  I have a friend who once cheerfully told me that she had
considerable personal savings. Later, she disclosed that she also had
considerable debt, which exceeded her "savings." And yes, her standard of
living dropped for a while as she both used those savings and a larger
portion of her income to rid herself of those debts.  The key point is that
while she rejoiced in the size of her savings, it was a deluded joy: in fact
she had few net assets. She could have kept on running up debt, and enjoyed
a delusional higher standard of living, but this only exacerbated her
situation, given her need to service her debt.

 

Is it not the same with Greece? If the Greek people, collectively, have been
living beyond their means, is this not a delusional financial stance?  Does
enjoying a higher stander of living temporarily outweigh in terms of social
values the accumulation of greater and greater debt and its concurrent
service obligations?  My friend did not expect anyone to take pity on her;
she simply knuckled down and accepted the temporary diminishment of her
standard of living.  Why not Greece?

 

Cheers,

Lawry

 

 

On Jun 3, 2012, at 10:41 AM, Ed Weick wrote:

 

  

 

 

----- Original Message ----- 

From: Ed Weick <mailto:[email protected]>  

To: RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION,EDUCATION
<mailto:[email protected]>  

Sent: Sunday, June 03, 2012 10:38 AM

Subject: Re: [Futurework] [Ottawadissenters] A little more on the Euro

 

A couple of points, Lawry.  One is that the banking system is highly
connected internationally.  To lend money to the Greek or Spanish
governments, Greek or Spanish banks borrowed money from banks in other
countries.  The impact would likely be similar to that of the American
sub-prime mortgage crisis of some four years ago.  Via the widely traded
Consolidated Debt Obligations it was not only American banks that lost a lot
of money, but foreign banks as well.  I think defaults by the highly
leveraged members of the EU would have a much larger negative impact than
the sub-prime crisis.

 

The other point is that the EU governments of Greece, Italy, Spain, Ireland
and perhaps others (France?) have kept themselves going by borrowing huge
sums of money.  If they defaulted, it is unlikely that anyone would want to
lend to them.  What might that mean in terms peace, stability and living
standards in those countries?

 

Ed 

 

 

----- Original Message ----- 

From: de Bivort Lawrence <mailto:[email protected]>  

To: [email protected] 

Cc: 'RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION,EDUCATION'
<mailto:[email protected]>  

Sent: Sunday, June 03, 2012 10:17 AM

Subject: Re: [Futurework] [Ottawadissenters] A little more on the Euro

 

A simplistic question, but one that may, I hope, cut to the chase: 

 

What is the problem if Greece and perhaps Italy and Spain simply default on
their debts, and do nothing else? I can readily see that lenders would
subsequently shy away from making any new loans to those countries, of
course, but...so what?

 

Can we build a damage/risk tree out from this initial question?

 

Cheers,

Lawry

 

 

 

 

On Jun 3, 2012, at 9:20 AM, Ed Weick wrote:

 

  

 

There seemed to be some agreement yesterday that exit from the EU by Greece
and perhaps others like Spain and Italy was inevitable.  But is it really?
Greece, Spain and a few other countries have huge debts -- but debts that
are denominated in Euros.  It is highly unlikely that creditors would accept
repayment in far less stable currencies like the drachma or the peseta, and
default by some of the larger EU debtors could wreak havoc with the
international banking system.  Exit from the EU is, IMHO, most unlikely
unless someone steps in and provides the kind of bailout supports needed.
Perhaps the IMF or, as Barry suggested, Russia?  For a countries like Greece
or Spain, would being beholden to Russia be better than being under
Germany's thumb?

 

Ed

 

 

 

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