Paltridge presents nothing new from the skeptics' camp. East Anglia's
alleged with-holdings compared with a mountain of evidence implicating
anthropomorphic activity is as akin to isolated negligible hearsay vs.
wilful negation as it comes. That there is no certainty in the science,
the popular position of previous times, is hardly worthy of publication.
His perspective will be sought after by big oil and government, which is
akin to dishing out or collecting huge money on any committee set up to
reassess what is obvious, then to cast doubt on real causes, thereby
delivering expert sanction for continued abuses. Was it $1 or $10
million George Bush's team offered out to any scientific paper that
could effectively disprove the global warming theory?
The difference between opposing sides in this case is that the skeptics
are largely perpetuating the position that we need do nothing to stop
ongoing pollution, while the global warming 'believers' are at least
working towards change that would mitigate environmental destruction.
The only sensible thing Paltridge says is that all scientists agree that
accumulation of pollution is a bad thing. Well, there's the thing, isn't
it? We all know that saturation of a differing substance eventually
alters the properties of anything. One has but to observe the increasing
polluted skies, and try to deal with the heat and humidity of Toronto,
L.A., Tokyo or New York to accept what is obvious. If not convincing
enough, check out Arctic melt. But admitting to it is costly to
science's skeptic camp. Their views are worth far more to big oil and
Wall Street than your run-of-the-mill research team concerned about
amassing pollution's effects.
The presumption that both the science community and the public is
sitting at around 50/50 on this topic is also unrepresentative. The US
public, bombarded by expensive corporate negation strategies, does not
represent international views, nor necessarily US public opinion,
knowing polling companies reputation for corporately solicited and
skewered results. And though it was a long haul within some of their
science communities, man-made global warming is no longer denied by most.
Check out these lists:
*Natalia*
http://www.ucsusa.org/ssi/climate-change/scientific-consensus-on.html
Scientific Consensus on Global Warming
Scientific societies and scientists have released statements and studies
showing the growing consensus on climate change science. A common
objection to taking action to reduce our heat-trapping emissions has
been uncertainty within the scientific community on whether or not
global warming is happening and if it is caused by humans. However,
there is now an overwhelming scientific consensus that global warming is
indeed happening and humans are contributing to it. Below are links to
documents and statements attesting to this consensus.
*Scientific Societies*
*
*Statement on climate change*
<http://www.ucsusa.org/assets/documents/ssi/climate-change-statement-from.pdf>*
from
18 scientific associations
*"Observations throughout the world make it clear that climate
change is occurring, and rigorous scientific research demonstrates
that the greenhouse gases emitted by human activities are the
primary driver." (October, 2009)
*
*American Meteorological Society:* Climate Change: An Information
Statement of the American Meteorological Society
<http://www.ametsoc.org/policy/2007climatechange.pdf>
"Indeed, strong observational evidence and results from modeling
studies indicate that, at least over the last 50 years, human
activities are a major contributor to climate change." (February 2007)
*
*American Physical Society*: Statement on Climate Change
<http://www.ucsusa.org/assets/documents/ssi/american-physical-society.pdf>
"The evidence is incontrovertible: Global warming is occurring. If
no mitigating actions are taken, significant disruptions in the
Earth's physical and ecological systems, social systems, security
and human health are likely to occur. We must reduce emissions of
greenhouse gases beginning now." (November 2007)
*
*American Geophysical Union*: Human Impacts on Climate
<http://www.agu.org/sci_pol/positions/climate_change2008.shtml>
"The Earth's climate is now clearly out of balance and is warming.
Many components of the climate system---including the temperatures
of the atmosphere, land and ocean, the extent of sea ice and
mountain glaciers, the sea level, the distribution of precipitation,
and the length of seasons---are now changing at rates and in
patterns that are not natural and are best explained by the
increased atmospheric abundances of greenhouse gases and aerosols
generated by human activity during the 20th century." (Adopted
December 2003, Revised and Reaffirmed December 2007)
*
*American Association for the Advancement of Science: *AAAS Board
Statement on Climate Change
<http://www.aaas.org/news/press_room/climate_change/mtg_200702/aaas_climate_statement.pdf>
"The scientific evidence is clear: global climate change caused by
human activities is occurring now, and it is a growing threat to
society." (December 2006)
*
*Geological Society of America*: Global Climate Change
<http://www.geosociety.org/positions/position10.htm>
"The Geological Society of America (GSA) supports the scientific
conclusions that Earth's climate is changing; the climate changes
are due in part to human activities; and the probable consequences
of the climate changes will be significant and blind to geopolitical
boundaries." (October 2006)
*
*American Chemical Society*: Statement on Global Climate Change
<http://portal.acs.org/portal/acs/corg/content?_nfpb=true&_pageLabel=PP_SUPERARTICLE&node_id=1907&use_sec=false&sec_url_var=region1>
"There is now general agreement among scientific experts that the
recent warming trend is real (and particularly strong within the
past 20 years), that most of the observed warming is likely due to
increased atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, and that
climate change could have serious adverse effects by the end of this
century." (July 2004)
*National Science Academies
*
*
*U.S. National Academy of Sciences*: Understanding and Responding to
Climate Change
<http://dels.nas.edu/dels/rpt_briefs/climate-change-final.pdf> (pdf)
"The scientific understanding of climate change is now sufficiently
clear to justify taking steps to reduce the amount of greenhouse
gases in the atmosphere." (2005)
*
*International academies: *Joint science academies' statement:
Global response to climate change
<http://www.academie-sciences.fr/actualites/textes/G8_gb.pdf> (pdf)
"Climate change is real. There will always be uncertainty in
understanding a system as complex as the world's climate. However
there is now strong evidence that significant global warming is
occurring." (2005, 11 national academies of science)
*
*International academies*: The Science of Climate Change
<http://www.royalsociety.org/displaypagedoc.asp?id=6206>
"Despite increasing consensus on the science underpinning
predictions of global climate change, doubts have been expressed
recently about the need to mitigate the risks posed by global
climate change. We do not consider such doubts justified." (2001, 16
national academies of science)
*Research*
*
National Research Council of the National Academies, America's
Climate Choices <http://americasclimatechoices.org/>
"Most of the recent warming can be attributed to fossil fuel burning
and other human activities that release carbon dioxide and other
heat-trapping greenhouse gases into the atmosphere." America's
Climate Choices, Advancing the Science of Climate Change, 2010
*
U.S. Climate Change Research Program, Global Climate Change Impacts
in the United States (2009)
<http://www.globalchange.gov/publications/reports/scientific-assessments/us-impacts/download-the-report>
"Global warming is unequivocal and primarily human-induced. Global
temperature has increased over the past 50 years. This observed
increase is due primarily to human-induced emissions of
heat-trapping gases."
*
Examining the Scientific Consensus on Climate Change
<http://www.ucsusa.org/assets/documents/ssi/DoranEOS09.pdf>, Peter
T. Doran and Maggie Kendall Zimmerman
"It seems that the debate on the authenticity of global warming and
the role played by human activity is largely nonexistent among those
who understand the nuances and scientific basis of long-term climate
processes."
Doran surveyed 10,257 Earth scientists. Thirty percent responded to
the survey which asked: 1. When compared with pre-1800s levels, do
you think that mean global temperatures have generally risen,
fallen, or remained relatively constant? and 2. Do you think human
activity is a significant contributing factor in changing mean
global temperatures?
*
Beyond the Ivory Tower: The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change
<http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/306/5702/1686>, Naomi
Oreskes
"Oreskes analyzed 928 abstracts published in refereed scientific
journals between 1993 and 2003 and listed in the ISI database with
the keywords 'climate change.'... Of all the papers, 75
percent either explicitly or implicitly accepted the consensus view
that global warming is happening and humans are contributing to it;
25 percent dealt with methods or ancient climates, taking no
position on current anthropogenic [human-caused] climate change.
Remarkably, none of the papers disagreed with the consensus
position." *?*
*Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change*
*
*Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis
<http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/contents.html>,
*IPCC, 2007. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth
Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
[Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt,
M.Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press,
Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
"Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is now evident
from observations of increases in global average air and ocean
temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising global
average sea level"
"Most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since
the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in
anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations."
IPCC defines "very likely" as greater than 90% probability of
occurrence.
*Sign-on Statements*
*
The Importance of Science in Addressing Climate Change
<http://www.climatesciencewatch.org/2011/02/01/scientists-letter-to-congress-28jan2011/>:
Scientists' letter to the U.S. Congress. Statement signed by 18
scientists.
"We want to assure you that the science is strong and that there is
nothing abstract about the risks facing our Nation." (2011)
*
Climate Change and the Integrity of Science
<http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/328/5979/689>
Signed by 255 members of the National Academy of Sciences. "... For
a problem as potentially catastrophic as climate change, taking no
action poses a dangerous risk for our planet. ... The planet is
warming due to increased concentrations of heat-trapping gases in
our atmosphere. ...Most of the increase in the concentration of
these gases over the last century is due to human activities,
especially the burning of fossil fuels and deforestation." (2010)
*
U.S. Scientists and Economists' Call for Swift and Deep Cuts in
Greenhouse Gas Emissions
<http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warming/solutions/big_picture_solutions/scientists-and-economists.html>
"We call on our nation's leaders to swiftly establish and implement
policies to bring about deep reductions in heat-trapping emissions.
The strength of the science on climate change compels us to warn the
nation about the growing risk of irreversible consequences as global
average temperatures continue to increase over pre-industrial levels
(i.e. prior to 1860). As temperatures rise further, the scope and
severity of global warming impacts will continue to accelerate." (2008)
*
Increase Your Leadership on Global Warming: A Letter from California
Scientists
<http://www.ucsusa.org/news/press_release/california-scientists-issue-global-warming-warning.html>
"If emissions continue unabated, the serious consequences of a
changing climate for California are likely to include a striking
increase in extreme heat and heat-related mortality, significant
reductions in Sierra snowpack with severe impacts on water supply,
mounting challenges to agricultural production, and sea-level rise
leading to more widespread erosion of California's beaches and
coastline." (2005)
Last Revised: 03/07/11
On 02/07/2012 6:41 AM, Sally Lerner wrote:
See Lawrence Smith's The World in 2050 for some excellent material on
climate change in a broader context.
Sally
------------------------------------------------------------------------
*From:* [email protected]
[[email protected]] on behalf of Arthur Cordell
[[email protected]]
*Sent:* Saturday, June 30, 2012 7:11 PM
*To:* 'RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, EDUCATION'
*Subject:* [Futurework] Science held hostage in climate debate
*From:*[email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] *On Behalf Of *Steve Kurtz
*Sent:* Saturday, June 30, 2012 8:17 AM
*Subject:* [Ottawadissenters] Science held hostage in climate debate
Before you attack, spend 3 minutes and read it. Uncertainty is key.
In any case, humans won't stop burning stuff, and the time lag for
GHGs is 50-100 yrs. Politics is in control in my opinion. (both sides
seeking billions to 'use.') There are better uses of human energy than
tilting at a windmill in my opinion.
Steve
http://afr.com/p/lifestyle/review/science_held_hostage_in_climate_Uamwgc7zXEsU6RbQJ5MWIJ
*Garth Paltridge is an emeritus professor with the University of
Tasmania, a visiting fellow at the Research School of Biology at the
Australian National University and a fellow of the Australian Academy
of Science. He is the author of The Climate Caper: facts and fallacies
of global warming, Connor Court, 2009. He was a chief research
scientist with the CSIRO division of atmospheric research.*
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