Interesting. That should be very hopeful to Steve and to the Robots. How long will it be before they have a seat in the upper house?
REH -----Original Message----- From: futurework-boun...@lists.uwaterloo.ca [mailto:futurework-boun...@lists.uwaterloo.ca] On Behalf Of Keith Hudson Sent: Sunday, September 15, 2013 4:52 PM To: RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, EDUCATION Subject: Re: [Futurework] FW: [Dewayne-Net] Report Suggests Nearly Half of U.S. Jobs Are Vulnerable to Computerization At 02:57 15/09/2013, AC wrote: >This may be good news. Just have to re structure the economy to >provide better income distribution, move to a thirty hour week, etc. >The economy and society is not about jobs, jobs, jobs no matter what >the politicians say. >We automate to free people from onerous and boring work. Just have to >find a way to harness the productivity from automation and distribute >it to those who no longer work. >Arthur No problem, because the bulk of the population (in the UK, anyway) is fast approaching a peak. It will start declining from 2040/50 onwards at an accelerating rate, perhaps even faster than surplus workers are being laid off due to automation. Keith >-----Original Message----- >From: futurework-boun...@lists.uwaterloo.ca >[mailto:futurework-boun...@lists.uwaterloo.ca] On Behalf Of michael >gurstein >Sent: Saturday, September 14, 2013 9:27 PM >To: Futurework >Subject: [Futurework] FW: [Dewayne-Net] Report Suggests Nearly Half of U.S. >Jobs Are Vulnerable to Computerization > > > >-----Original Message----- >From: list...@warpspeed.com [mailto:list...@warpspeed.com] On Behalf Of >Dewayne Hendricks >Sent: Saturday, September 14, 2013 5:38 PM >To: Multiple recipients of Dewayne-Net - Sent by >Subject: [Dewayne-Net] Report Suggests Nearly Half of U.S. Jobs Are >Vulnerable to Computerization > >[Note: This item comes from friend Mike Cheponis. DLH] > >From: Michael Cheponis <michael.chepo...@gmail.com> >Subject: Report Suggests Nearly Half of U.S. Jobs Are Vulnerable to >Computerization | MIT Technology Review >Date: September 13, 2013 10:27:09 AM PDT > >Report Suggests Nearly Half of U.S. Jobs Are Vulnerable to >Computerization Oxford researchers say that 45 percent of America's >occupations will be automated within the next 20 years. >By Aviva Hope Rutkin >Sep 12 2013 ><http://www.technologyreview.com/view/519241/report-suggests-nearly-hal >f-of- us-jobs-are-vulnerable-to-computerization/> > >Rapid advances in technology have long represented a serious potential >threat to many jobs ordinarily performed by people. > >A recent report (which is not online, but summarized here) from the >Oxford Martin School's Programme on the Impacts of Future Technology >attempts to quantify the extent of that threat. It concludes that 45 >percent of American jobs are at high risk of being taken by computers >within the next two decades. > >The authors believe this takeover will happen in two stages. First, >computers will start replacing people in especially vulnerable fields >like transportation/logistics, production labor, and administrative >support. Jobs in services, sales, and construction may also be lost in this first stage. >Then, the rate of replacement will slow down due to bottlenecks in >harder-to-automate fields such engineering. This "technological plateau" >will be followed by a second wave of computerization, dependent upon >the development of good artificial intelligence. This could next put >jobs in management, science and engineering, and the arts at risk. > >The authors note that the rate of computerization depends on several >other factors, including regulation of new technology and access to cheap labor. > >These results were calculated with a common statistical modeling method. >More than 700 jobs on O*Net, an online career network, were considered, >as well as the skills and education required for each. These features >were weighted according to how automatable they were, and according to >the engineering obstacles currently preventing computerization. > >"Our findings thus imply that as technology races ahead, low-skill >workers will reallocate to tasks that are non-susceptible to >computerization-i.e., tasks that required creative and social intelligence," the authors write. >"For workers to win the race, however, they will have to acquire >creative and social skills." > > > >Dewayne-Net RSS Feed: <http://dewaynenet.wordpress.com/feed/> > > > >_______________________________________________ >Futurework mailing list >Futurework@lists.uwaterloo.ca >https://lists.uwaterloo.ca/mailman/listinfo/futurework > >_______________________________________________ >Futurework mailing list >Futurework@lists.uwaterloo.ca >https://lists.uwaterloo.ca/mailman/listinfo/futurework _______________________________________________ Futurework mailing list Futurework@lists.uwaterloo.ca https://lists.uwaterloo.ca/mailman/listinfo/futurework _______________________________________________ Futurework mailing list Futurework@lists.uwaterloo.ca https://lists.uwaterloo.ca/mailman/listinfo/futurework
