As always, eternal verities, except for dog walks and pots of tea, rather
disappear the closer you get to them.

Campbell didn't so much win the BC election (the Liberals lost the previous
BC election largely because of fear and loathing for Campbell personally)
rather, the NDP (mild Social Democrats) imploded after 8 years, with a
completely discredited Premier (under charges for corruption), an exhausted
and demoralized set of MLA's, and a party which had completely run out of
ideas and energy.

Keith's dog running for AB-NDP (Anything But the NDP) would have won in a
similar landslide.

What's interesting of course, is that a similar implosion destroyed the
previous right wing Government (complete with Premier under charges for
corruption) 8 years hence.  The lurches from right to left to right are a
(sad) characteristic of BC politics and are a source of appalled amazement
to many (most) BC taxpayers, and in the current instance are causing very
serious concern in all political camps in the Province.  (Campbell's
approval rating is currently roughly half what it was six months ago at the
time of the election.)

Certainly BC isn't doing all that well economically at the moment, but what
is happening there has a lot more to do with ideology (and some are arguing,
Campbell's personal socio-pathologies) than with a reasoned response to
specific circumstances--which I take it was Ed's earlier point.

MG

-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]On Behalf Of Keith Hudson
Sent: February 6, 2002 3:22 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; [EMAIL PROTECTED];
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: British Columbia (was Re: Economics)


 Hi Ed,

I read the item in The Economist that you refer to below and the decisions
of Gordon Campbell and the Liberals in British Columbia do indeed seem
drastic.

However, in this fast-changing world, impelled as it is with accelerating
innovations and their economic consequences, remedial actions by
governments in trouble need to be swift also.  This is particularly
necessary when a new government is elected with (in your words) "a huge
majority", (in The Economist's words) "a landslide victory". "Medium-term
solutions", much beloved and publicised by our own dear ex-Chancellor,
Nigel Lawson, will no longer do -- as Greenspan has acknowledged in his
decisions in the last 15 months or so.

Lack of quick decisions (that is, with quick results), as evidenced in
Japan and Argentina, carry the danger of not only accelerating the problem
but also of bringing about deep demoralisation of the electorate.
Middle-class Argentinians are already taking to the streets and I don't
think it won't be long before the Japanese will, too.

What puzzles me is why your comments should have been triggered by the
quote of Keynes to Hayek (below). When Keynes was saying that some
politicians want planning in order to serve the devil, he was agreeing with
Hayek's apprehensions that the Labour Party in England might bring in a
sufficient level of planning which would then bring about the sort of
totalitarian society that was taking place in Stalin's Soviet Russia. I
don't understand why this should have triggered your characterisation of
Gordon Campbell's "cut, slash and burn" policies as not planning. They
sound like de-planning to me, or perhaps de-over-planning.

Keith

(Keynes writing to Hayek)
<<<<
"I should...conclude rather differently.   I should say that what we want
is not no planning, or even less planning, indeed I should say we almost
certainly want more.   But the planning should take place in a community in
which as many people as possible, both leaders and followers, wholly share
your own moral position.   Moderate planning will be safe enough if those
carrying it out are rightly oriented in their own minds and hearts to the
moral issue.    This is in fact already true of some of them.   But the
curse is that there is also an important section who could be said to want
planning not in order to enjoy its fruits, but because morally they hold
ideas exactly the opposite of yours and wish to serve not God but the
devil."
 >>>>
(EW)
<<<<
 To that I would say Amen!  We have a situation in one of our provinces,
British Columbia, in which a new government, imbued with neo-liberal
righteousness, took power with a huge majority last year.  With nothing one
could identify as planning, they have proceeded to cut, slash and burn.
Naturally, they want to balance the budget immediately, despite initiating
a huge tax cut.  To accomplish this, they have cut services to the poor and
elderly, proceeded to lay off 11,000 public servants, torn up contracts
with teachers and health administrators, decimated their courts, jails and
highway maintenance systems, and generally behaved like madmen with axes in
their hands and blindfolds over their eyes.  Their mantra: "Gumint is bad;
free enterpise is good".  (See page 33 of the Feb 2 Economist for more on
this.)
>>>>

__________________________________________________________
Writers used to write because they had something to say; now they write in
order to discover if they have something to say. John D. Barrow
_________________________________________________
Keith Hudson, Bath, England;  e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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