Good thinking!
However, of crucial importance to perhaps both Bushes is to get a majority of the Security Council going with the Ayes! At that point, I don't think a French veto would matter.
"Heck, we know what the French are like - but most of the Security Council are with us."
This is all very interesting.
Harry ---------------------------------------------------
Keith wrote:
Hi Harry,
Well . . . an ideal opportunity has occurred straight away which will surely determine whether my view or your view of Bush Junior is correct.
According to the Times this morning. Bush Senior has said in a speech to Tufts University that hopes of peace in the Middle East would be ruined if a war with Iraq was not backed by international unity. It is imperative that Bush Junior should not jeopardise world peace by ignoring the UN.
Wow! Bush Senior has decided that his son has gone too far! This is an ominous warning. Why he's had to deliver this message in public is, in my view, because he's had to show Cheney, Rumsfeld, Wolfovitch, Perle and others that if they persist with their present bellicosity then he will become one of their most formidable enemies -- an ex-President anti-war protestor! (I wonder whether Clinton, who's been loyally silent to Bush Junior through all this, will now come out in support of Bush Senior.)
If my view of Bush Junior is correct, then the invasion is off. He'll quickly knuckle down and do as Daddy says. This will have to happen early this week because, quite soon, the French, Germans and Russians will be tabling their own resolution in the UN asking for the invasion to be delayed and Bush will have to take a view on that. Bush Junior would no doubt describe his climbdown in statesman-like words but it will mean, essentially, Saddam has won.*
If your view of Bush is correct, then he can do no other than to continue as he has been doing, and continuing with the invasion even if there are vetoes from France, Russia and China.
And here might be a test of something else that Karen and I are intrigued about. If Bush Junior (and the group behind him) does as Bush Senior urges, then he will feel deeply humiliated. He'll feel that the whole world is laughing at him (which they will be). Will he hang onto his fundamentalist lifeline and his highly disciplined way of life? Can he continue pretending to be a President? Or will he revert to type and take to the bottle?
Keith Hudson
(*Although, paradoxically, if all possibility of invasion subsides, then Saddam might be more vulnerable to a coup d'�tat than ever before! Those at the top in Iraq might decide that because of Saddam's bad judgement (in cutting out American oil corporations from developments contracts), together with Bush Junior's stupidity, might have taken Iraq into a long period of great suffering.
****************************** Harry Pollard Henry George School of LA Box 655 Tujunga CA 91042 [EMAIL PROTECTED] Tel: (818) 352-4141 Fax: (818) 353-2242 *******************************
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