Quoting "" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>:

> I often quote Ellul (possibly incorrectly) when he noted that "trend is
> not
> destiny..." to which I add but it is worth looking at trends
> nonetheless.

This plausibly sounds like Ellul could have said it,
although it's not very uniquely "Ellul".

This fits in nicely with Sartre's notion that to not choose is to
choose.  Trend information tells "you" what "you" are
likely acquiescing to if "you" "don't choose" (i.e.,
if "you" choose "not to lift a finger").  

Trend information
says "If 'you' do nothing about it, this is what's
likely to happen.  But, if 'you' do
choose to intervene, here are
the best guess estimates of the chances of changing
what will happen to be [whatever alternative]".  So
trend information also helps inform choices to act,
as well as showing the real meaning of what is
obfuscatingly called "not choosing".

Of course, creative insight sometimes enables a
person to intervene in a situation in a way
that could not have been trend-projected, since
nobody knew about the alternative until the 
person innovated it.  And/or creative insight may show
that the trend projections are wrong because they do
not take account of some previously unsuspected
factor....

\brad mccormick   

-- 
  Let your light so shine before men,
              that they may see your good works.... (Matt 5:16)

  Prove all things; hold fast that which is good. (1 Thes 5:21)

<![%THINK;[SGML+APL]]> Brad McCormick, Ed.D. / [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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