This makes me dizzy! Thanks, John, for explaining it. I think... ;-)

Randy

  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: John Vega 
  To: [email protected] 
  Sent: Tuesday, November 25, 2008 12:12 PM
  Subject: [gatortalk] Re: [gatornews] [YahooSports] ]BCS standings favor 
Texas, for now




  On Nov 24, 2008, at 3:44 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


    Texas plays Texas A&M (4-7) on Thanksgiving, a game that will weigh down 
the Longhorns' strength of schedule—a vital part of the computer ratings—and 
won't give voters much reason to move them up.


  This is an interesting misunderstanding.


  Under the old-BCS formula, it mattered whether a team was #2 or #3 in the 
polls, as a #2 received a certain fixed score, #3 a different score, and so on 
down the line.


  In the current formula, a teams actual points in the poll by 2,850 - 
representing the best possible score in the Harris Poll (and 1,525 in the USA 
Today).


  So, if a few voters switch and UT and Texas flip-flop in their positions, it 
won't make a hill of beans difference; 2,598 divided by 2,850 and 2,577 divided 
by 2,850 are essentially the same number.


  Only if Oklahoma makes a move in the computers will it matter. As the 
computers treat its 0 point loss to Texas the same as a 1 point loss, and its 
40+ point victory over Texas Tech the same as a 1 point victory, it is not 
clear that Oklahoma will make up the ground that it needs. I would even call it 
unlikely.


  For those that assume that strength of schedule will vault Oklahoma, it is 
worth looking at some of the individual computer polls week by week. UF's 
strength has been as high as #9th in SOS and as low at 20th in the last five 
weeks in the Anderson/Hester poll, yet its score has barely changed week to 
week (.783 currently with the #20th SOS, and a score of .784 on Nov.2nd when we 
had the #9 SOS).


  FWIW, we will never overcome Utah in that computer ranking, and that extra 
spot between us and OK and Texas will create problems.


  -Zeb



  

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