2r -John Vega
Sent from my iPhone On Sep 1, 2009, at 3:19 PM, "Jay Cicone" <[email protected]> wrote: > Interesting theory. So what value do you derive for r squared? > > > > > > From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] > On Behalf Of John Vega > Sent: Tuesday, September 01, 2009 2:24 PM > To: [email protected] > Subject: [gatortalk] Re: Let's play Pick 'Em > > > > > > On Sep 1, 2009, at 12:11 PM, Charlie wrote: > > > > > Wow the Gators have to cover 63 points. Not sure I could bet on > anyone to cover 63 points. What do you guys think? Should I pick the > Gators not to cover? Too me that's not the same as picking them not > to win. > > > > I try to have a theme each year. That gets me off the hook for not > picking the Gators. > > > > One year the theme was always pick the underdog. That worked out > surprisingly well. > > > > This year, I am going with whichever school has the smaller overall > enrollment. > > > > My theory is that more students = more alumni = more people betting > on their alma mater out of loyalty. > > > > As the spread is meant to balance the wagers for and against, a team > with a large and loyal alumni base will almost always move the > spread away from what it would otherwise be. > > > > Unless UF adds UCF to its schedule, there aren't many schools with a > larger enrollment, so I will have to pick against UF frequently. > > > > One year, I ought to go with endowments, to balance out the effects > of very wealthy alumni who, presumably, wager in larger amounts. > > > > I have also decided to treat Notre Dame as if all Irish Catholics in > the U.S. are alumni for the purposes of this experiment. > > > > -Zeb > > > > > > > > > > > --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ GATORS: ONE VOICE ON SATURDAY - NO VOICE ON SUNDAY! 1996 National Football Champions | 2006 National Basketball Champions 2006 National Football Champions | 2007 National Basketball Champions 2008 National Football Champions | Three Heisman Trophy winners: Steve Spurrier (1966), Danny Wuerffel (1996), Tim Tebow (2007) - Visit our website at www.gatornet.us -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
