The military situation in Ukraine, as seen by an ex-member of the Swiss 
strategic intelligence
Is it possible to actually know what has been and is going on in Ukraine? 
Jacques Baud is a former member of the Swiss strategic intelligence and 
specialist in Eastern countries. He takes a fact-driven down-to-earth approach 
to analyze the conflict and the role the West plays in it.

By Contributing Reporter  -April 18, 
2022https://www.riotimesonline.com/brazil-news/modern-day-censorship/the-military-situation-in-the-ukraine-as-seen-by-an-ex-member-of-the-swiss-strategic-intelligence/
 
By Jacques Baud*

RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL –  Part One: The Road To War – For years, from Mali to 
Afghanistan, I have worked for peace and risked my life for it. It is therefore 
not a question of justifying war, but of understanding what led us to it. [….]

Let’s try to examine the roots of the [Ukrainian] conflict. It starts with 
those who for the last eight years have been talking about “separatists” or 
“independentists” from Donbass. This is a misnomer.

The referendums conducted by the two self-proclaimed Republics of Donetsk and 
Lugansk in May 2014, were not referendums of “independence” (независимость), as 
some unscrupulous journalists have claimed, but referendums of 
“self-determination” or “autonomy” (самостоятельность).


Is It Possible to Actually Know What Has Been and Is Going On in Ukraine? 
(Photo internet reproduction) 
The qualifier “pro-Russian” suggests that Russia was a party to the conflict, 
which was not the case, and the term “Russian speakers” would have been more 
honest. Moreover, these referendums were conducted against the advice of 
Vladimir Putin.

In fact, these Republics were not seeking to separate from Ukraine, but to have 
a status of autonomy, guaranteeing them the use of the Russian language as an 
official language–because the first legislative act of the new government 
resulting from the American-sponsored overthrow of [the democratically-elected] 
President Yanukovych, was the abolition, on February 23, 2014, of the 
Kivalov-Kolesnichenko law of 2012 that made Russian an official language in 
Ukraine.

A bit as if German-speaking ‘putschists’ decided that French and Italian would 
no longer be official languages in Switzerland.

This decision caused a storm in the Russian-speaking population. The result was 
fierce repression against the Russian-speaking regions (Odessa, Dnepropetrovsk, 
Kharkov, Lugansk and Donetsk) which was carried out beginning in February 2014 
and led to a militarization of the situation and some horrific massacres of the 
Russian population (in Odessa and Mariupol, the most notable).

At this stage, too rigid and engrossed in a doctrinaire approach to operations, 
the Ukrainian general staff subdued the enemy but without managing to actually 
prevail. The war waged by the autonomists [consisted in].… highly mobile 
operations conducted with light means. With a more flexible and less 
doctrinaire approach, the rebels were able to exploit the inertia of Ukrainian 
forces to repeatedly “trap” them.

In 2014, when I was at NATO, I was responsible for the fight against the 
proliferation of small arms, and we were trying to detect Russian arms 
deliveries to the rebels, to see if Moscow was involved.

The information we received then came almost entirely from Polish intelligence 
services and did not “fit” with the information coming from the OSCE 
[Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe]—and despite rather crude 
allegations, there were no deliveries of weapons and military equipment from 
Russia.

The rebels were armed thanks to the defection of Russian-speaking Ukrainian 
units that went over to the rebel side. As Ukrainian failures continued, tank, 
artillery, and anti-aircraft battalions swelled the ranks of the autonomists. 
This is what pushed the Ukrainians to commit to the Minsk Agreements.

But just after signing the Minsk 1 Agreements, the Ukrainian President Petro 
Poroshenko launched a massive “anti-terrorist operation” (ATO/Антитерористична 
операція) against the Donbass.

Poorly advised by NATO officers, the Ukrainians suffered a crushing defeat in 
Debaltsevo, which forced them to engage in the Minsk 2 Agreements.

It is essential to recall here that Minsk 1 (September 2014) and Minsk 2 
(February 2015) Agreements did not provide for the separation or independence 
of the Republics, but their autonomy within the framework of Ukraine.

Those who have read the Agreements (there are very few who actually have) will 
note that it is written that the status of the Republics was to be negotiated 
between Kiev and the representatives of the Republics, for an internal solution 
within Ukraine.

That is why since 2014, Russia has systematically demanded the implementation 
of the Minsk Agreements while refusing to be a party to the negotiations, 
because it was an internal matter of Ukraine.

On the other side, the West—led by France—systematically tried to replace Minsk 
Agreements with the “Normandy format,” which put Russians and Ukrainians 
face-to-face. However, let us remember that there were never any Russian troops 
in the Donbass before 23-24 February 2022.

Moreover, OSCE observers have never observed the slightest trace of Russian 
units operating in the Donbass before then. For example, the U.S. intelligence 
map published by the Washington Post on December 3, 2021 does not show Russian 
troops in the Donbass.

In October 2015, Vasyl Hrytsak, director of the Ukrainian Security Service 
(SBU), confessed that only 56 Russian fighters had been observed in the 
Donbass. This was exactly comparable to the Swiss who went to fight in Bosnia 
on weekends, in the 1990s, or the French who go to fight in Ukraine today.

The Ukrainian army was then in a deplorable state. In October 2018, after four 
years of war, the chief Ukrainian military prosecutor, Anatoly Matios, stated 
that Ukraine had lost 2,700 men in the Donbass: 891 from illnesses, 318 from 
road accidents, 177 from other accidents, 175 from poisonings (alcohol, drugs), 
172 from careless handling of weapons, 101 from breaches of security 
regulations, 228 from murders and 615 from suicides.

In fact, the Ukrainian army was undermined by the corruption of its cadres and 
no longer enjoyed the support of the population. According to a British Home 
Office report, in the March/April 2014 recall of reservists, 70 percent did not 
show up for the first session, 80 percent for the second, 90 percent for the 
third, and 95 percent for the fourth.

In October/November 2017, 70% of conscripts did not show up for the “Fall 2017” 
recall campaign. This is not counting suicides and desertions (often over to 
the autonomists), which reached up to 30 percent of the workforce in the ATO 
area. Young Ukrainians refused to go and fight in the Donbass and preferred 
emigration, which also explains, at least partially, the demographic deficit of 
the country.

The Ukrainian Ministry of Defense then turned to NATO to help make its armed 
forces more “attractive.” Having already worked on similar projects within the 
framework of the United Nations, I was asked by NATO to participate in a 
program to restore the image of the Ukrainian armed forces. But this is a 
long-term process and the Ukrainians wanted to move quickly.

So, to compensate for the lack of soldiers, the Ukrainian government resorted 
to paramilitary militias…. In 2020, they constituted about 40 percent of the 
Ukrainian forces and numbered about 102,000 men, according to Reuters. They 
were armed, financed, and trained by the United States, Great Britain, Canada, 
and France. There were more than 19 nationalities.

These militias had been operating in the Donbass since 2014, with Western 
support. Even if one can argue about the term “Nazi,” the fact remains that 
these militias are violent, convey a nauseating ideology, and are virulently 
anti-Semitic…[and] are composed of fanatical and brutal individuals.

The best known of these is the Azov Regiment, whose emblem is reminiscent of 
the 2nd SS Das Reich Panzer Division, which is revered in the Ukraine for 
liberating Kharkov from the Soviets in 1943, before carrying out the 1944 
Oradour-sur-Glane massacre in France. [….]

The characterization of the Ukrainian paramilitaries as “Nazis” or “neo-Nazis” 
is considered Russian propaganda. But that’s not the view of the Times of 
Israel or the West Point Academy’s Center for Counterterrorism. In 2014, 
Newsweek magazine seemed to associate them more with… the Islamic State. Take 
your pick!

So, the West supported and continued to arm militias that have been guilty of 
numerous crimes against civilian populations since 2014: rape, torture, and 
massacres….

The integration of these paramilitary forces into the Ukrainian National Guard 
was not at all accompanied by a “denazification,” as some claim.

Among the many examples, that of the Azov Regiment’s insignia is instructive:



In 2022, very schematically, the Ukrainian armed forces fighting the Russian 
offensive were organized as:

  a.. The Army, subordinated to the Ministry of Defense. It is organized into 3 
army corps and composed of maneuver formations (tanks, heavy artillery, 
missiles, etc.). 
  b.. The National Guard, which depends on the Ministry of the Interior and is 
organized into 5 territorial commands. 
  c.. The National Guard is therefore a territorial defense force that is not 
part of the Ukrainian army. It includes paramilitary militias, called 
“volunteer battalions” (добровольчі батальйоні), also known by the evocative 
name of “reprisal battalions,” and composed of infantry. Primarily trained for 
urban combat, they now defend cities such as Kharkov, Mariupol, Odessa, Kiev, 
etc.
PART TWO: THE WAR

As a former head of analysis of Warsaw Pact forces in the Swiss strategic 
intelligence service, I observe with sadness—but not astonishment—that our 
services are no longer able to understand the military situation in Ukraine. 
The self-proclaimed “experts” who parade on our TV screens tirelessly relay the 
same information modulated by the claim that Russia—and Vladimir Putin—is 
irrational. Let’s take a step back.

The Outbreak Of War

Since November 2021, the Americans have been constantly threatening a Russian 
invasion of Ukraine. However, the Ukrainians at first did not seem to agree. 
Why not?

We have to go back to March 24, 2021. On that day, Volodymyr Zelensky issued a 
decree for the recapture of the Crimea, and began to deploy his forces to the 
south of the country.

At the same time, several NATO exercises were conducted between the Black Sea 
and the Baltic Sea, accompanied by a significant increase in reconnaissance 
flights along the Russian border. Russia then conducted several exercises to 
test the operational readiness of its troops and to show that it was following 
the evolution of the situation.

Things calmed down until October-November with the end of the ZAPAD 21 
exercises, whose troop movements were interpreted as a reinforcement for an 
offensive against Ukraine. However, even the Ukrainian authorities refuted the 
idea of Russian preparations for war, and Oleksiy Reznikov, Ukrainian Minister 
of Defense, states that there had been no change on its border since the spring.

In violation of the Minsk Agreements, Ukraine was conducting air operations in 
Donbass using drones, including at least one strike against a fuel depot in 
Donetsk in October 2021. The American press noted this, but not the Europeans, 
and no one condemned these violations.

In February 2022, events came to a head. On February 7, during his visit to 
Moscow, Emmanuel Macron reaffirmed to Vladimir Putin his commitment to the 
Minsk Agreements, a commitment he would repeat after his meeting with Volodymyr 
Zelensky the next day.

But on February 11, in Berlin, after nine hours of work, the meeting of 
political advisors to the leaders of the “Normandy format” ended without any 
concrete result: the Ukrainians still refused to apply the Minsk Agreements, 
apparently under pressure from the United States.

Vladimir Putin noted that Macron had made empty promises and that the West was 
not ready to enforce the agreements, the same opposition to a settlement it had 
exhibited for eight years.

Ukrainian preparations in the contact zone continued. The Russian Parliament 
became alarmed; and on February 15 it asked Vladimir Putin to recognize the 
independence of the Republics, which he initially refused to do.

On 17 February, President Joe Biden announced that Russia would attack Ukraine 
in the next few days. How did he know this? It is a mystery.

But since the 16th, the artillery shelling of the population of Donbass had 
increased dramatically, as the daily reports of the OSCE observers show. 
Naturally, neither the media, nor the European Union, nor NATO, nor any Western 
government reacted or intervened.

It would be said later that this was Russian disinformation. In fact, it seems 
that the European Union and some countries have deliberately kept silent about 
the massacre of the Donbass population, knowing that this would provoke Russian 
intervention.

At the same time, there were reports of sabotage in the Donbass. On 18 January, 
Donbass fighters intercepted saboteurs, who spoke Polish and were equipped with 
Western equipment, and who were seeking to create chemical incidents in 
Gorlivka.

They could have been CIA mercenaries, led or “advised” by Americans and 
composed of Ukrainian or European fighters, to carry out sabotage actions in 
the Donbass Republics.

In fact, as early as February 16, Joe Biden knew that the Ukrainians had begun 
intense shelling of the civilian population of Donbass, forcing Vladimir Putin 
to make a difficult choice: to help Donbass militarily and create an 
international problem or to stand by and watch the Russian-speaking people of 
Donbass being crushed.

If he decided to intervene, Putin could invoke the international obligation of 
“Responsibility To Protect” (R2P). But he knew that whatever its nature or 
scale, the intervention would trigger a storm of sanctions.

Therefore, whether the Russian intervention was limited to the Donbass or went 
further to put pressure on the West over the status of Ukraine, the price to 
pay would be the same.

This is what he explained in his speech on February 21. On that day, he agreed 
to the request of the Duma and recognized the independence of the two Donbass 
Republics, and, at the same time, he signed friendship and assistance treaties 
with them.

The Ukrainian artillery bombardment of the Donbass population continued, and, 
on 23 February, the two Republics asked for military assistance from Russia. On 
24 February, Vladimir Putin invoked Article 51 of the United Nations Charter, 
which provides for mutual military assistance in the framework of a defensive 
alliance.



In order to make the Russian intervention seem totally illegal in the eyes of 
the public, Western powers deliberately hid the fact that the war actually 
started on February 16. The Ukrainian army was preparing to attack the Donbass 
as early as 2021, as some Russian and European intelligence services were well 
aware.

In his speech on February 24, Vladimir Putin stated the two objectives of his 
operation: “demilitarize” and “denazify” Ukraine. So, it was not a question of 
taking over Ukraine, nor even, presumably, of occupying it; and certainly not 
of destroying it.

>From then on, our knowledge of the course of the operation is limited: the 
>Russians have excellent security for their operations (OPSEC) and the details 
>of their planning are not known. But fairly quickly, the course of the 
>operation allows us to understand how the strategic objectives were translated 
>on the operational level.

Demilitarization:

  a.. ground destruction of Ukrainian aviation, air defense systems and 
reconnaissance assets; 
  b.. neutralization of command and intelligence structures (C3I), as well as 
the main logistical routes in the depth of the territory; 
  c.. encirclement of the bulk of the Ukrainian army massed in the southeast of 
the country.
  Denazification; 
  d.. destruction or neutralization of volunteer battalions operating in the 
cities of Odessa, Kharkov, and Mariupol, as well as in various facilities in 
the territory.
Demilitarization

The Russian offensive was carried out in a very “classic” manner. Initially—as 
the Israelis had done in 1967—with the destruction on the ground of the air 
force in the very first hours.

Then, we witnessed a simultaneous progression along several axes according to 
the principle of “flowing water”: advance everywhere where resistance was weak 
and leave the cities (very demanding in terms of troops) for later.

In the north, the Chernobyl power plant was occupied immediately to prevent 
acts of sabotage. The images of Ukrainian and Russian soldiers guarding the 
plant together are of course not shown.

The idea that Russia is trying to take over Kiev, the capital, to eliminate 
Zelensky, comes typically from the West…. But Vladimir Putin never intended to 
shoot or topple Zelensky. Instead, Russia seeks to keep him in power by pushing 
him to negotiate, by surrounding Kiev. The Russians want to obtain the 
neutrality of Ukraine.

Many Western commentators were surprised that the Russians continued to seek a 
negotiated solution while conducting military operations. The explanation lies 
in the Russian strategic outlook since the Soviet era.

For the West, war begins when politics ends. However, the Russian approach 
follows a Clausewitzian inspiration: war is the continuity of politics and one 
can move fluidly from one to the other, even during combat. This allows one to 
create pressure on the adversary and push him to negotiate.

>From an operational point of view, the Russian offensive was an example of 
>previous military action and planning: in six days, the Russians seized a 
>territory as large as the United Kingdom, with a speed of advance greater than 
>what the Wehrmacht had achieved in 1940.

The bulk of the Ukrainian army was deployed in the south of the country in 
preparation for a major operation against the Donbass. This is why Russian 
forces were able to encircle it from the beginning of March in the “cauldron” 
between Slavyansk, Kramatorsk and Severodonetsk, with a thrust from the East 
through Kharkov and another from the South from Crimea. Troops from the Donetsk 
(DPR) and Lugansk (LPR) Republics are complementing the Russian forces with a 
push from the East.

At this stage, Russian forces are slowly tightening the noose, but are no 
longer under any time pressure or schedule. Their demilitarization goal is all 
but achieved and the remaining Ukrainian forces no longer have an operational 
and strategic command structure.

The “slowdown” that our “experts” attribute to poor logistics is only the 
consequence of having achieved their objectives. Russia does not want to engage 
in the occupation of the entire Ukrainian territory. In fact, it appears that 
Russia is trying to limit its advance to the linguistic border of the country.

Our media speak of indiscriminate bombardments against the civilian population, 
especially in Kharkov, and horrific images are widely broadcast. However, 
Gonzalo Lira, a Latin American correspondent who lives there, presents us with 
a calm city on March 10 and March 11.

It is true that it is a large city and we do not see everything—but this seems 
to indicate that we are not in the total war that we are served continuously on 
our TV screens. As for the Donbass Republics, they have “liberated” their own 
territories and are fighting in the city of Mariupol.

Denazification

In cities like Kharkov, Mariupol and Odessa, the Ukrainian defense is provided 
by the paramilitary militias. They know that the objective of “denazification” 
is aimed primarily at them. For an attacker in an urbanized area, civilians are 
a problem. This is why Russia is seeking to create humanitarian corridors to 
empty cities of civilians and leave only the militias, to fight them more 
easily.

Conversely, these militias seek to keep civilians in the cities from evacuating 
in order to dissuade the Russian army from fighting there. This is why they are 
reluctant to implement these corridors and do everything to ensure that Russian 
efforts are unsuccessful—they use the civilian population as “human shields.”

Videos showing civilians trying to leave Mariupol and beaten up by fighters of 
the Azov regiment are of course carefully censored by the Western media.

On Facebook, the Azov group was considered in the same category as the Islamic 
State [ISIS] and subject to the platform’s “policy on dangerous individuals and 
organizations.” It was therefore forbidden to glorify its activities, and 
“posts” that were favorable to it were systematically banned.

But on February 24, Facebook changed its policy and allowed posts favorable to 
the militia. In the same spirit, in March, the platform authorized, in the 
former Eastern countries, calls for the murder of Russian soldiers and leaders. 
So much for the values that inspire our leaders.

Our media propagate a romantic image of popular resistance by the Ukrainian 
people. It is this image that led the European Union to finance the 
distribution of arms to the civilian population. In my capacity as head of 
peacekeeping at the UN, I worked on the issue of civilian protection. We found 
that violence against civilians occurred in very specific contexts. In 
particular, when weapons are abundant and there are no command structures.

These command structures are the essence of armies: their function is to 
channel the use of force towards an objective. By arming citizens in a 
haphazard manner, as is currently the case, the EU is turning them into 
combatants, with the consequential effect of making them potential targets.

Moreover, without command, without operational goals, the distribution of arms 
leads inevitably to the settling of scores, banditry, and actions that are more 
deadly than effective.

War becomes a matter of emotions. Force becomes violence. This is what happened 
in Tawarga (Libya) from 11 to 13 August 2011, where 30,000 black Africans were 
massacred with weapons parachuted (illegally) by France. By the way, the 
British Royal Institute for Strategic Studies (RUSI) does not see any added 
value in these arms deliveries.

Moreover, by delivering arms to a country at war, one exposes oneself to being 
considered belligerent. The Russian strikes of March 13, 2022, against the 
Mykolayev air base follow Russian warnings that arms shipments would be treated 
as hostile targets.

The EU is repeating the disastrous experience of the Third Reich in the final 
hours of the Battle of Berlin. War must be left to the military and when one 
side has lost, it must be admitted.

And if there is to be resistance, it must be led and structured. But we are 
doing exactly the opposite—we are pushing citizens to go and fight, and at the 
same time, Facebook authorizes calls for the murder of Russian soldiers and 
leaders.

Some intelligence services see this irresponsible decision as a way to use the 
Ukrainian population as cannon fodder to fight Vladimir Putin’s Russia…. It 
would have been better to engage in negotiations and thus obtain guarantees for 
the civilian population than to add fuel to the fire. It is easy to be 
combative with the blood of others.

THE MATERNITY HOSPITAL AT MARIUPOL

It is important to understand beforehand that it is not the Ukrainian army that 
is defending Mariupol, but the Azov militia, composed of foreign mercenaries.

In its March 7, 2022 summary of the situation, the Russian UN mission in New 
York stated that “Residents report that Ukrainian armed forces expelled staff 
from the Mariupol city birth hospital No. 1 and set up a firing post inside the 
facility.”

On March 8, the independent Russian media Lenta.ru, published the testimony of 
civilians from Mariupol who told that the maternity hospital was taken over by 
the militia of the Azov regiment, and who drove out the civilian occupants by 
threatening them with their weapons. They confirmed the statements of the 
Russian ambassador a few hours earlier. The hospital in Mariupol occupies a 
dominant position, perfectly suited for the installation of anti-tank weapons 
and for observation.

On 9 March, Russian forces struck the building. According to CNN, 17 people 
were wounded, but the images do not show any casualties in the building and 
there is no evidence that the victims mentioned are related to this strike. 
There is talk of children, but in reality, there is nothing. This does not 
prevent the leaders of the EU from seeing this as a war crime. And this allows 
Zelensky to call for a no-fly zone over Ukraine.

In reality, we do not know exactly what happened. But the sequence of events 
tends to confirm that Russian forces struck a position of the Azov regiment and 
that the maternity ward was then free of civilians.

The problem is that the paramilitary militias that defend the cities are 
encouraged by the international community not to respect the rules of war.

It seems that the Ukrainians have replayed the scenario of the Kuwait City 
maternity hospital in 1990, which was totally staged by the firm Hill & 
Knowlton for US$10.7 million in order to convince the United Nations Security 
Council to intervene in Iraq for Operation Desert Shield/Storm.

Western politicians have accepted civilian strikes in the Donbass for eight 
years without adopting any sanctions against the Ukrainian government. We have 
long since entered a dynamic where Western politicians have agreed to sacrifice 
international law toward their goal of weakening Russia.

Part Three: Conclusions

As an ex-intelligence professional, the first thing that strikes me is the 
total absence of Western intelligence services in accurately representing the 
situation over the past year…. In fact, it seems that throughout the Western 
world intelligence services have been overwhelmed by the politicians.

The problem is that it is the politicians who decide—the best intelligence 
service in the world is useless if the decision-maker does not listen. This is 
what happened during this crisis.

That said, while a few intelligence services had a very accurate and rational 
picture of the situation, others clearly had the same picture as that 
propagated by our media… The problem is that, from experience, I have found 
them to be extremely bad at the analytical level—doctrinaire, they lack the 
intellectual and political independence necessary to assess a situation with 
military “quality.”

Second, it seems that in some European countries, politicians have deliberately 
responded ideologically to the situation. That is why this crisis has been 
irrational from the beginning. It should be noted that all the documents that 
were presented to the public during this crisis were presented by politicians 
based on commercial sources.

Some Western politicians obviously wanted there to be a conflict. In the United 
States, the attack scenarios presented by Anthony Blinken to the UN Security 
Council were only the product of the imagination of a Tiger Team working for 
him—he did exactly as Donald Rumsfeld did in 2002, who “bypassed” the CIA and 
other intelligence services that were much less assertive about Iraqi chemical 
weapons.

The dramatic developments we are witnessing today have causes that we knew 
about but refused to see:

  a.. on the strategic level, the expansion of NATO (which we have not dealt 
with here); 
  b.. on the political level, the Western refusal to implement the Minsk 
Agreements;and 
  c.. operationally, the continuous and repeated attacks on the civilian 
population of the Donbass over the past years and the dramatic increase in late 
February 2022.
In other words, we can naturally deplore and condemn the Russian attack. But WE 
(that is: the United States, France and the European Union in the lead) have 
created the conditions for a conflict to break out.

We show compassion for the Ukrainian people and the almost 5 million refugees. 
That is fine. But if we had had a modicum of compassion for refugees from the 
Ukrainian populations of Donbass massacred by their own government and who 
sought refuge in Russia for eight years, none of this would probably have 
happened.

[….]

Whether the term “genocide” applies to the abuses suffered by the people of 
Donbass is an open question. The term is generally reserved for cases of 
greater magnitude (Holocaust, etc.). But the definition given by the Genocide 
Convention is probably broad enough to apply to this case.

Clearly, this conflict has led us into hysteria. Sanctions seem to have become 
the preferred tool of our foreign policies. If we had insisted that Ukraine 
abide by the Minsk Agreements, which we had negotiated and endorsed, none of 
this would have happened.

Vladimir Putin’s condemnation is also ours. There is no point in whining 
afterward—we should have acted earlier. However, neither Emmanuel Macron (as 
guarantor and member of the UN Security Council), nor Olaf Scholz, nor 
Volodymyr Zelensky have respected their commitments. In the end, the real 
defeat is that of those who have no voice.

The European Union was unable to promote the implementation of the Minsk 
agreements—on the contrary, it did not react when Ukraine was bombing its own 
population in the Donbass.

Had it done so, Vladimir Putin would not have needed to react. Absent from the 
diplomatic phase, the EU distinguished itself by fueling the conflict. On 
February 27, the Ukrainian government agreed to enter into negotiations with 
Russia.

But a few hours later, the European Union voted a budget of 450 million euros 
to supply arms to Ukraine, adding fuel to the fire. From then on, the 
Ukrainians felt that they did not need to reach an agreement.

The resistance of the Azov militia in Mariupol even led to a boost of 500 
million euros for weapons.

In Ukraine, with the blessing of the Western countries, those who are in favor 
of negotiation have been eliminated. This is the case of Denis Kireyev, one of 
the Ukrainian negotiators, assassinated on March 5 by the Ukrainian secret 
service (SBU) because he was too favorable to Russia and was considered a 
traitor.

The same fate befell Dmitry Demyanenko, former deputy head of the SBU’s main 
directorate for Kiev and its region, who was assassinated on March 10 because 
he was too favorable to an agreement with Russia—he was shot by the Mirotvorets 
(“Peacemaker”) militia.

This militia is associated with the Mirotvorets website, which lists the 
“enemies of Ukraine,” with their personal data, addresses, and telephone 
numbers so that they can be harassed or even eliminated; a practice that is 
punishable in many countries, but not in the Ukraine.

The UN and some European countries have demanded the closure of this site—but 
that demand was refused by the Rada [Ukrainian parliament].

In the end, the price will be high, but Vladimir Putin will likely achieve the 
goals he set for himself. We have pushed him into the arms of China. His ties 
with Beijing have solidified.

China is emerging as a mediator in the conflict…. The Americans have to ask 
Venezuela and Iran for oil to get out of the energy impasse they have put 
themselves in—and the United States has to piteously backtrack on the sanctions 
imposed on its enemies.

Western ministers who seek to collapse the Russian economy and make the Russian 
people suffer, or even call for the assassination of Putin, show (even if they 
have partially reversed the form of their words, but not the substance!) that 
our leaders are no better than those we hate—sanctioning Russian athletes in 
the Para-Olympic Games or Russian artists has nothing to do with fighting 
Putin. [….]

What makes the conflict in Ukraine more blameworthy than our wars in Iraq, 
Afghanistan or Libya? What sanctions have we adopted against those who 
deliberately lied to the international community in order to wage unjust, 
unjustified, and murderous wars?

Have we adopted a single sanction against the countries, companies, or 
politicians who are supplying weapons to the conflict in Yemen, considered to 
be the “worst humanitarian disaster in the world?”

To ask the question is to answer it… and the answer is not pretty.

*Jacques Baud is a former colonel of the General Staff, ex-member of the Swiss 
strategic intelligence, and specialist on Eastern countries.

He was trained in the American and British intelligence services. He has served 
as Policy Chief for United Nations Peace Operations. As a UN expert on rule of 
law and security institutions, he designed and led the first multidimensional 
UN intelligence unit in Sudan.

He has worked for the African Union and was for 5 years responsible for the 
fight, at NATO, against the proliferation of small arms. He was involved in 
discussions with the highest Russian military and intelligence officials just 
after the fall of the USSR.

Within NATO, he followed the 2014 Ukrainian crisis and later participated in 
programs to assist the Ukraine.

He is the author of several books on intelligence, war and terrorism, in 
particular Le Détournement published by SIGEST, Gouverner par les fake news , 
L’affaire Navalny . His latest book is Poutine, maître du jeu? published by Max 
Milo.

This post is mirrored. You can find the original in French here

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Anda menerima pesan ini karena Anda berlangganan grup "GELORA45" dari Google 
Grup.
Untuk berhenti berlangganan dan berhenti menerima email dari grup ini, kirim 
email ke [email protected].
Untuk melihat diskusi ini di web, kunjungi 
https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/gelora1945/080E45CF168643519C5B97CBF51815E1%40A10Live.

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