https://www.rt.com/op-ed/424685-china-australia-military-pacific/


Military base rumors stoke Western allies’ fear of losing the Pacific to
China

Published time: 20 Apr, 2018 12:55

Get short URL <https://on.rt.com/93ot>

[image: Military base rumors stoke Western allies’ fear of losing the
Pacific to China]China's aircraft carrier formation conducts exercises in
South China Sea © China Military


In early April, reports began emerging that China was seeking to build a
military base in the Pacific. Are these reports “fake news,” or are we
witnessing the early stages of a regional showdown between Western powers
and China?

The unsubstantiated rumor of a Chinese military base in the Pacific was
first reported
<https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/china-eyes-vanuatu-military-base-in-plan-with-global-ramifications-20180409-p4z8j9.html>
on by Fairfax media this month, which cited unnamed sources while affirming
that no formal proposal had yet been made. However, the report stated that
the prospect of a Chinese military post close to Australia had been
discussed at the “*highest levels in Canberra and Washington.*”

According to the report, a “*base less than 2000 kilometres from the
Australian coast would allow China to project military power into the
Pacific Ocean and upend the long-standing strategic balance in the region,
potentially increasing the risk of confrontation between China and the
United States.*”

Read more

[image: U.S. Navy aircraft carrier, USS Carl Vinson, docks at a port in
Danang, Vietnam March 5, 2018. © Nguyen Huy Kham]
<https://www.rt.com/news/420544-us-aircraft-carrier-vietnam-china/> USS
Carl Vinson in Vietnam port: Americans hammer out new scheme to deter China
<https://www.rt.com/news/420544-us-aircraft-carrier-vietnam-china/>

The prospective Pacific island nation in question is Vanuatu, a country
with a noticeably close relationship with China. While the Western powers,
especially Australia, have become increasingly concerned by China’s growing
military capacity in the South China Sea through its reclaimed reefs and
artificial islands, Vanuatu has been one of the very few countries who have
openly supported Beijing’s island-building program. China has also donated
military vehicles to Vanuatu, invested millions of dollars in
infrastructure, and reportedly accounts for nearly half of Vanuatu’s $440
million foreign debt.
The Allies’ Response

As one can imagine, the report of a looming Chinese military base was not
welcomed at all by US allies in the region, particularly New Zealand and
Australia
<http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-04-10/china-military-base-in-vanuatu-report-of-concern-turnbull-says/9635742>
..

Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull said at the time that he
viewed “*with
great concern the establishment of any foreign military bases in those
Pacific Island countries and neighbours of ours.*”

“*The maintenance of peace and stability in the Pacific is of utmost
importance to us, to Australia — it’s one of the key priorities of the
foreign policy white paper*,” the prime minister also reportedly
<http://www.news.com.au/military/how-china-is-exerting-its-power-in-vanuatu/news-story/0c5e2eb17ca45f18db1078aeac2bcac3>
said.

In other words, Australia may seek to use this threat to justify a renewed
militaristic foreign policy strategy of its own. After all, Australia has
been sending warships to the South China Sea for military exercises
<http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-10-05/australia-defence-begins-joint-military-exercises-in-singapore/7906794>
even
as recently as last year, and even felt it necessary to openly consider
sending more vessels to confront China’s expanding influence just a few
months ago. Australia also facilitated
<https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/02/13/britain-plots-confrontation-beijing-sending-royal-navy-warship/>
the
proposal for a British warship, the HMS Sutherland, to depart Australia and
voyage to the South China Sea to assert its so-called “*freedom of
navigation rights.*” The US, for its part, sent warships
<https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-china-southchinasea/exclusive-us-warship-sails-near-disputed-south-china-sea-island-officials-say-idUSKBN1GZ0VY>
to
the South China Sea just this past month, as well as in January of this
year, saber-rattling China in the process. Not to mention that Trump’s
nominee for the US ambassador to Australia is a known anti-Chinese war hawk
<https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/feb/16/admiral-warns-us-must-prepare-for-possibility-of-war-with-china>
..

In solidarity with Australia, New Zealand’s prime minister, Jacinda Ardern,
also voiced
<http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2018/04/china-s-plans-for-military-base-in-vanuatu-opposed-by-nz-govt.html>
her
opposition to what she termed the “*militarization*” of the Pacific, even
though she hadn’t even been formally briefed on the issue at the time.

According
<https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/102971730/pm-opposes-pacific-militarisation-as-china-eyes-vanuatu-military-base>
to
a prominent New Zealand outlet, the country’s government was seeking
further information on the report and considering ways to respond. Deputy
Prime Minister Winston Peters, a notorious anti-Chinese
<https://twitter.com/winstonpeters/status/854175284223819781> politician
who just about rattles
<http://www.scmp.com/news/asia/article/1571185/new-zealand-lawmaker-blasted-racist-joke-about-chinese>
Chinese
people any chance he gets, also said there are a “*number of players doing
certain things in the Pacific that are not good for the peace and security*”
of the Pacific. He also believed that it was time for New Zealand to “*step
up*” and “*do a whole lot more in the Pacific.*”

In March
<https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/101907520/nz-resets-its-pacific-strategy-asks-australia-to-join-the-mission>
of
this year, Peters spoke about the Pacific becoming a “*contested strategic
space*” which was “*creating a degree of strategic anxiety*..” He also vowed
<http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-03-02/foreign-minister-warns-australia-nz-influence-in-pacific-waning/9500916>
to
pour more money and resources in the Pacific region, further indicating
that New Zealand would back away from supporting China’s monumental Silk
Road project even after New Zealand’s former government had already signed
a memorandum of understanding in support of the project.

Read more

[image: FILE PHOTO: Royal Australian Navy warships © Steve Christo]
<https://www.rt.com/op-ed/421726-china-australia-pacific-collision/>
Australia & China on Pacific Ocean collision course & no one’s talking
about it
<https://www.rt.com/op-ed/421726-china-australia-pacific-collision/>

All this being said, both Vanuatu and China have already heavily denied the
veracity of the report, rejecting the claim that China will be building a
military base in Vanuatu.

“*No one in the Vanuatu government has ever talked about a Chinese military
base in Vanuatu of any sort*,” Vanuatu’s foreign minister, Ralph Regenvanu,
told
<http://www.news.com.au/military/how-china-is-exerting-its-power-in-vanuatu/news-story/0c5e2eb17ca45f18db1078aeac2bcac3>
Australian media. “*We are a non-aligned country. We are not interested in
militarisation.*”

By way of confirmation, China also referred to the statements from the
Vanuatu Foreign Ministry, which China believed had “*cleared the record.*”
China even referred to the report as “*fake news*.”

Washington irked by China’s purported ambitions

Some of you may be wondering, if both Vanuatu and China have openly denied
the story, then so what? Case closed, right?

As of now, China maintains only one foreign military base in the world,
being in the Horn of Africa’s Djibouti
<https://thediplomat.com/2016/10/chinas-experiment-in-djibouti/>.
Allegedly, the establishment of this base represents the “*first pearl of a
necklace*” unfolding along a sea route that will connect China to the
Middle East.

According to the Diplomat
<https://thediplomat.com/2018/04/chinas-moves-in-vanuatu-what-should-australia-do/>,
there are also “*credible reports*” of further plans to establish naval or
military facilities in locations such as Timor-Leste, the Azores islands
(Portugal) in the middle of the North Atlantic, Walvis Bay (Namibia) in the
South Atlantic, and Gwadar (Pakistan), with other initiatives that may not
have come to light as yet (including, for example, Sri Lanka
<https://edition.cnn.com/2018/02/03/asia/china-sri-lanka-string-of-pearls-intl/index.html>
).

*READ MORE: 'Chinese province of the Philippines?' Duterte says Beijing’s
military bases only threaten the US
<https://www.rt.com/news/419278-chinese-military-bases-duterte/>*

Regarding Pakistan
<http://www.newsweek.com/china-building-military-base-pakistan-america-balochistan-772092>,
unnamed Chinese military officials first told the South China Morning Post
(SCMP) that Beijing was looking to build a naval base in Gwadar Port in the
Pakistani province of Balochistan. Almost immediately, both Pakistan
<https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/pakistan/pakistan-denies-reports-of-chinese-military-base-near-gwadar/articleshow/62370315.cms>
and China
<https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/china/china-denies-plans-to-set-up-military-base-in-pakistan/articleshow/62427906.cms>
rejected these reports, even though the speculation initially came from
Chinese military officials and not from the Western media. Sound familiar?

Back to the issue at hand, Fairfax’s report clearly indicated that
Beijing’s military ambition in Vanuatu “*would likely be realized
incrementally*,” perhaps taking shape with an “*access agreement that would
allow Chinese naval ships to dock routinely and be serviced, refueled and
restocked*.”

The report also makes note of the fact that China has invested heavily in a
major new wharf on the north island of Espiritu Santo, which allegedly “*raised
eyebrows in defence, intelligence and diplomatic circles*” in Australia
because it has the potential to service naval vessels as well as commercial
ones (Vanuatu already hosted
<http://dailypost.vu/news/chinese-warships-coming/article_5d3f5f83-56c0-55c4-89a7-18688797240c.html>
Chinese warships throughout last year).

And here is where it gets interesting. Luganville, on the island of
Espiritu Santo, actually housed one of the largest military bases in the
entire Pacific battle theatre during World War II. Its geostrategic
significance cannot be understated. Whoever controls Vanuatu controls the
air and sea route between the United States and Australia. This is a
deal-breaker not just for the United States, but for its local
lackey-states Australia and New Zealand, who act as regional care-takers
for Washington’s foreign policy interests.
Double standards, hypocrisy and the road to war

Nonetheless, it is the United States that currently boasts approximately
1,000 military bases
<http://theantimedia.com/us-empire-1000-military-bases-80-countries/>
worldwide,
including military research bases located in the Pacific region
<http://nationalinterest.org/feature/americas-military-bases-the-asia-pacific-strategic-asset-or-10483>.
The US also maintains a military budget so astronomical
<https://edition.cnn.com/2018/03/28/politics/us-military-spending-items-intl/index.html>
it far exceeds that of China
<https://www.brookings.edu/opinions/chinas-military-spending/>. Despite
this, one would be hard-pressed to find any instances of a New Zealand or
Australian government criticizing the American military presence in the
Pacific (or its presence on the wider global chessboard in general).

Read more

[image: FILE PHOTO: Soldiers of China's People's Liberation Army (PLA)
raise a Chinese national flag. © China Daily]
<https://www.rt.com/news/420307-us-china-taiwan-war/> ‘Descent into hell is
easy’: Chinese state media warns growing US-Taiwan ties could lead to war
<https://www.rt.com/news/420307-us-china-taiwan-war/>

A report
<https://www.cnas.org/publications/reports/first-strike-chinas-missile-threat-to-u-s-bases-to-asia>
last year by Commander Thomas Shugart and Commander Javier Gonzalez at the
Center for a New American Security (CNAS) suggested
<https://thediplomat.com/2017/07/securing-us-bases-in-the-pacific-a-new-era-of-instability/>
that these US bases were becoming deeply vulnerable to attack by China’s
ballistic missile capabilities, which could cripple US military
capabilities in the Asia-Pacific region while using only a fraction of its
arsenal should a confrontation emerge.

Though little regard is paid to it by the media, there’s a reason Australia
and the US continue to send warships to the South China Sea. It’s the same
reason China has responded with live-fire
<http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-43806019> military exercises that began
in the Taiwan Strait this week, as China sets out to prove that it is a
force to be reckoned with in the region.

Despite New Zealand and Australia’s fear-based position on this issue, it
should be borne in mind that there are alternative options to the dispute
which could prove far more beneficial for regional security than our current
<https://www.rt.com/op-ed/421726-china-australia-pacific-collision/>
trajectory. As The Diplomat’s David Brewster explained
<https://thediplomat.com/2018/04/chinas-moves-in-vanuatu-what-should-australia-do/>
:

“*Whether or not this reported proposal in Vanuatu comes to pass (and it
seems less likely than more), Australia needs to better understand – and
deal with – China’s growing interests in the South Pacific. If Australia
sees itself as a regional leader, then it needs to show leadership in
avoiding militarization of South Pacific. Rather than hoping to lock China
out, Australia should be exploring ways of working with China that address
some of its concerns in a manner that does not adversely affect Australia’s
clear strategic interests. These issues are not going to go away.*”

If only the West will heed Brewster’s much needed advice, the region might
avert a heavily anticipated catastrophe.

*Darius Shahtahmasebi for RT*

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